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You know, there's been a lot
of talk about Abraham Lincoln.
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But the president we need today
is not Abraham Lincoln.
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The president we need
today is Thomas Jefferson.
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He said that we needed
a revolution every generation.
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Thomas Jefferson said
you have to be ready
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in order to preserve
the vitality
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of your liberty
and your freedom
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to defend it not by
overthrowing anything else
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except for what you
have been holding in your head
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that may not be
applicable anymore.
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We've gotten very lazy.
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We're many generations overdue
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for a revolution
in our thinking.
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I'm not talking about
blood and violence;
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although I'm afraid
that's already happening.
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I'm talking about a revolution
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that's probably
the hardest kind,
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the kind that takes place
inside the human soul
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and the human mind,
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to be able
to tear everything down,
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throw everything out,
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and start with a completely
fresh piece of paper
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and say, "Okay, how do we
solve this problem?"
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Can you talk to me
a little bit, like...
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I mean, who are you?
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Listen, this is not a plan
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that would make sense to anybody
except God.
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You know, I gave up trying to
figure that out a long time ago.
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I was born into a family
deeply connected
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to the U.S.
intelligence community.
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My mother had been
a cryptanalyst
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at the Army Security Agency
and NSA in World War II.
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Her work product went
to the President Roosevelt
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and to Secretary of War Stimson
and Cordell Hull at State.
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My father was
an Air Force aviator
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who went to work
for Martin Marietta
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on contracts for the CIA
and the Air Force,
38
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namely the Titan IIIC
39
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which put out the CIA's
Keyhole spy satellites.
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At age 19 when I was interning
for LAPD,
41
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I was pulled into
the chief's office
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because somebody discovered
I had a Q clearance.
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I didn't know anything about it.
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I went home,
and I asked Dad he said,
45
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"Yeah, because you're my son,
46
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"and, you know,
they have to do that
47
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because I might leave
my briefcase open."
48
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But a Q was a secret
compartmentalized clearance
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above top secret.
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I went through UCLA
as a Republican
51
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who didn't like anything
about the war in Vietnam,
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who didn't like anything
about government
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with this naive belief that,
you know,
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you can get inside the system
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and change it from the inside.
56
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I became an L.A. policeman,
57
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worked in South Central
Los Angeles in The Jungle,
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and the CIA tried unofficially
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to recruit me
into an operation
60
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where they were smuggling drugs
into the country
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back in 1976, 1977,
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and I wouldn't get involved
in that.
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You know, I thought,
"Well, jeez, this must be
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"an isolated incident
of corruption.
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"This must be something
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"that everybody is gonna
want to correct right away.
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My God."
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And of course
that was a mistake.
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Basically my life disintegrated
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because I was betrayed
by a woman
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who worked for CIA,
who was my fiancée,
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and when I said I wouldn't
get involved in drugs,
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she disappeared, and people
started shooting at me,
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and then it was
a matter of saving my life,
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and the tools which
I acquired to save my life then,
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which were, you know,
writing letters to congressmen,
77
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getting on the record,
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trying to get
newspaper stories written,
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those were survival skills,
80
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but it was also a part
of learning how things worked.
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I was a mapmaker if you will,
a cartographer,
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going out to try and map
how the world really worked
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as opposed to the way
we were told it worked.
84
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And the map that we have made
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has proved so startlingly
accurate over ten years
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whether they had to do
with gold prices
87
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or geopolitical developments
or economic events.
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The only thing that amazes me
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is the speed with which things
are falling apart,
90
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and that message now
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is the single most
important thing in my life.
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It's the only thing in my life,
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well, except for rock and roll
music, good music,
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playing with my dog,
and long walks on the beach.
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Rags, come here.
Rags, come here.
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I first became focused
on energy issues in late 2001,
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just maybe a month or two
after 9/11.
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I was contacted by a geologist,
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a brilliant guy named
Dale Allen Pfeiffer,
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who introduced me to the concept
of peak oil
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and the basic issues
about energy
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and helped me to realize
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that there was a great deal
of evidence in 2001,
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not only that peak oil
was very real
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but that government agencies
were acting
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and responding
as if it was very real.
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All plastic is oil.
108
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Most paints, all pesticides
are made from oil.
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Everything from toothpaste to
tooth brushes is made from oil.
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There are seven gallons of oil
in every tire.
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There is nothing anywhere
in any combination
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that will replace the edifice
built by fossil fuels.
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Nothing.
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Peak oil is probably now
very easy to explain,
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much easier
than it was a long time ago.
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People have felt what
$147 a barrel oil feels like.
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Essentially peak oil is like if
you know what a bell curve is.
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Goes up, comes down.
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Peak oil is the point
of oil production
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when you're at the top
of the bell curve.
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And essentially
what that means is,
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you've used up
half of the resource.
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In the case of oil or
any other substance like that,
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no matter how much money
you throw at it,
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you're never going
to be able to increase
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oil production above
where it was at peak.
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As of 2008, the International
Energy Agency has admitted
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that there is a global 9%
decline rate in oil production.
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That's the equivalent of
about 8 million barrels a day.
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There is no way, having plucked
all the low-hanging fruit
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and found the big reservoirs
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that we are gonna able
to offset a 9% decline rate.
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From a detective's standpoint,
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if you are trying
to assemble a case, you know,
135
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the multidimensional aspects
of a case...
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means, motive, opportunity...
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to understand what kind of force
drives events,
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peak oil was almost
with the stroke
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of, like,
a diamond cutter's knife
140
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the single piece which started
to make
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everything resonate
and make sense together.
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An economy
that runs on petroleum,
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some 20 million barrels of it
a day.
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You will recall that when the
Bush administration took office
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in January of 2001,
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a National Energy
Policy Development Group,
147
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the NEPDG, was formed
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and placed under
the exclusive, private,
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absolute control
of Vice President Dick Cheney.
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Its records were kept a secret,
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its minutes were kept a secret,
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seven pages were released
as a result of two lawsuits,
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and it clearly shows that that
task force was looking saying,
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"How much oil is there?
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Where is it?
Who owns it?"
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They knew that this was coming
for a long time.
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It has been known
that this event,
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this collapse,
this crash, was coming.
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Who they were,
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we can't even get information
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as to who was involved
and what they were doing.
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First of all, if you think
there might be oil someplace,
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then what you do is,
you go drill a test well.
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Then what you have to do
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is to take that one well
in the center,
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and then you drill a series
of appraisal wells
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around that well
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to determine where the oil field
might go.
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You don't know how much oil
you're gonna get,
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how deep it is, what kind of oil
it's gonna to be.
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There are many different grades
of oils,
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a lot of which
are more expensive to refine.
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So all of that has
to do with how long it takes
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to make something produce,
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how much energy do you get back
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for how much energy
you invested.
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When oil was seeping out
of the ground in Pennsylvania,
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you got a return of,
I don't know, 200 to 1.
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When you have to go offshore,
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to deep water drilling
in 15,000 feet of water
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and your first well costs
$150 million to build,
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all that's energy that's being
invested to get energy,
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and the moment you start
burning more energy
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to get a barrel of oil out
of the ground than it's worth,
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forget about it.
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The world's been
thoroughly explored
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over the last 120 years.
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There's no major
oil finds left.
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As a matter of fact,
no field the size of Ghawar,
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the largest field
in Saudi Arabia,
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has ever been discovered since.
192
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Saudi Arabia has 25%
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00:10:05,036 --> 00:10:07,402
of the known oil reserves
on the planet.
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25%.
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Why, if Saudi Arabia has all
these untapped reserves on shore
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are they moving heavily
into offshore drilling?
197
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Now, if it's 5, 10, 50 times
more expensive
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to drill offshore
than on land,
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00:10:20,452 --> 00:10:22,113
doesn't that tell you
that Saudi Arabia
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00:10:22,153 --> 00:10:24,781
knows they've got
no more oil to find?
201
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It's axiomatic that if
Saudi Arabia has passed its peak
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and is in decline,
the whole planet is
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00:10:30,929 --> 00:10:33,193
just because of the size
of the reserves that are there.
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Iraq is oil
that's not only accessible,
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it's right close
to the Persian Gulf,
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which means it's
a short distance to ships.
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00:10:44,576 --> 00:10:45,702
They can put the pipelines.
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They can get that into
the global supply stream
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00:10:48,913 --> 00:10:51,108
as everything else declines.
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00:10:53,918 --> 00:10:55,783
And Iraq was all about the oil.
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A lot of people have admitted
that, and like, duh.
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00:11:00,291 --> 00:11:03,317
11 days after 9/11,
when there was no clear evidence
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00:11:03,361 --> 00:11:05,591
that Saddam Hussein had anything
to do with 9/11...
214
00:11:05,630 --> 00:11:06,858
of course, he didn't...
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00:11:06,898 --> 00:11:10,299
the plans were started
to invade Iraq, of course.
216
00:11:10,335 --> 00:11:14,931
That was the objective,
get control of that oil.
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Because Saddam Hussein
had been talking about
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00:11:17,108 --> 00:11:20,100
pricing his oil in Euros,
taking it away from the dollar.
219
00:11:20,144 --> 00:11:21,168
We got in there.
220
00:11:21,212 --> 00:11:22,474
We restructured everything.
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00:11:22,514 --> 00:11:25,074
We put in a friendly government
using the U.S. dollar,
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00:11:25,116 --> 00:11:28,176
and we assured
the oil companies
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00:11:28,219 --> 00:11:32,656
their "fair access"
and fair share of Iraqi oil.
224
00:11:32,690 --> 00:11:36,319
International oil companies
into Iraqi oil fields
225
00:11:36,361 --> 00:11:38,261
We have no intention
of leaving Iraq.
226
00:11:38,296 --> 00:11:40,924
We're never gonna
leave Iraq.
227
00:11:40,965 --> 00:11:43,593
Going back to 2004,
we started building the largest,
228
00:11:43,635 --> 00:11:46,866
most permanent military bases,
three of them, in the world,
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00:11:46,905 --> 00:11:49,840
plus the largest embassy
compound that's ever been built.
230
00:11:49,874 --> 00:11:52,968
We built an embassy compound
in Baghdad
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that's bigger than Vatican City.
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That's not a temporary deal.
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00:12:00,418 --> 00:12:02,010
Nobody is gonna take
that oil.
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00:12:02,053 --> 00:12:05,489
We are sitting on it.
235
00:12:05,523 --> 00:12:09,960
But there is not enough oil
in Iraq to change anything.
236
00:12:09,994 --> 00:12:12,986
Iraq probably has around
90 billion barrels
237
00:12:13,031 --> 00:12:14,089
of recoverable oil.
238
00:12:14,132 --> 00:12:16,123
That sounds like a lot of oil.
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00:12:16,167 --> 00:12:18,727
But when you consider that in
2008 the world was consuming
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00:12:18,770 --> 00:12:20,328
85 million barrels a day,
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00:12:20,371 --> 00:12:21,736
that means
a billion barrels of oil
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00:12:21,773 --> 00:12:23,400
only last for about 111/2 days,
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00:12:23,441 --> 00:12:24,738
so that ain't that much oil.
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00:12:24,776 --> 00:12:26,334
That's only the first
of the good things
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00:12:26,377 --> 00:12:28,743
that will come to Iraq,
thanks to oil.
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00:12:31,849 --> 00:12:34,477
They knew exactly
what was coming.
247
00:12:34,519 --> 00:12:36,612
That's what's in
the National Energy Policy
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00:12:36,654 --> 00:12:38,986
Development Group report
that's been classified,
249
00:12:39,023 --> 00:12:41,321
because if that report
were declassified,
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00:12:41,359 --> 00:12:44,726
we would be building scaffolds
to hang Dick Cheney
251
00:12:44,762 --> 00:12:46,696
and everybody in that
administration tomorrow.
252
00:12:51,703 --> 00:12:54,001
Let's assume
just for the sake of discussion
253
00:12:54,038 --> 00:12:57,565
that there's 600 billion barrels
in the Arctic.
254
00:12:57,609 --> 00:13:01,170
First of all, it happens
to be under the polar ice cap.
255
00:13:01,212 --> 00:13:02,645
That's a problem.
256
00:13:02,680 --> 00:13:05,513
The polar ice cap happens to be
on, what, 10,000,
257
00:13:05,550 --> 00:13:08,178
15,000 feet water.
258
00:13:08,219 --> 00:13:11,347
The problem with the polar ice
cap is, it floats; it moves.
259
00:13:11,389 --> 00:13:13,482
So you can't drill a well
on Tuesday
260
00:13:13,524 --> 00:13:16,288
and expect it to be in
the same place on Thursday.
261
00:13:16,327 --> 00:13:20,320
That's why a lot of conservative
think tanks and oil companies
262
00:13:20,365 --> 00:13:24,768
are cheering the melting
of the polar ice caps.
263
00:13:24,802 --> 00:13:27,828
Developing this tiny section
of ANWR,
264
00:13:27,872 --> 00:13:29,863
could eventually yield up
to a million...
265
00:13:29,907 --> 00:13:31,431
If there is oil in ANWR
266
00:13:31,476 --> 00:13:34,206
there's no more than about
a six-month supply
267
00:13:34,245 --> 00:13:36,679
for the entire United States.
268
00:13:36,714 --> 00:13:39,148
There are no pipelines
across a thousand miles
269
00:13:39,183 --> 00:13:41,413
of tundra that's melting due
to global warming,
270
00:13:41,452 --> 00:13:43,852
which means you can't sink pipes
to support
271
00:13:43,888 --> 00:13:47,187
a pipeline in tundra
that's turned to mud.
272
00:13:47,225 --> 00:13:50,285
There's no tanker routes,
the wells aren't drilled,
273
00:13:50,328 --> 00:13:56,267
and yet we are spending our
future as if that oil is there.
274
00:13:58,336 --> 00:14:01,965
We got to drop all this lying
right now.
275
00:14:02,006 --> 00:14:04,201
We don't need transparency
about anything
276
00:14:04,242 --> 00:14:07,234
other than about
how much oil is really left,
277
00:14:07,278 --> 00:14:08,745
because we don't know.
278
00:14:08,780 --> 00:14:10,338
Oil is a commodity;
it's an asset.
279
00:14:10,381 --> 00:14:12,542
You make loans based upon
what's in the ground,
280
00:14:12,583 --> 00:14:14,448
so you have all these
accounting terms:
281
00:14:14,485 --> 00:14:16,953
possible reserves,
proven reserves,
282
00:14:16,988 --> 00:14:18,853
ultimately recoverable reserves,
283
00:14:18,890 --> 00:14:21,415
verified reserves, estimated...
284
00:14:21,459 --> 00:14:24,121
But actual reserve estimates
are state secrets.
285
00:14:24,162 --> 00:14:26,653
The Saudis don't dare announce
that they've passed
286
00:14:26,698 --> 00:14:27,790
their peak of oil production.
287
00:14:27,832 --> 00:14:28,821
Why?
288
00:14:28,866 --> 00:14:31,391
They have a very
restive population
289
00:14:31,436 --> 00:14:33,461
that have been sold
an expectation
290
00:14:33,504 --> 00:14:35,267
of a rising standard of living,
291
00:14:35,306 --> 00:14:37,797
and the moment Saudi Arabia
acknowledges it's past peak,
292
00:14:37,842 --> 00:14:39,639
it may well have a revolution.
293
00:14:39,677 --> 00:14:42,771
Now, what happens if there's
a revolution in Saudi Arabia
294
00:14:42,814 --> 00:14:44,873
with 25% of the world's
known oil?
295
00:14:44,916 --> 00:14:46,645
Where is that oil going
to get replaced from?
296
00:14:46,684 --> 00:14:49,414
It can't be.
297
00:14:49,454 --> 00:14:50,478
Very complex problem.
298
00:14:50,521 --> 00:14:52,489
It's a very complex situation.
299
00:14:57,228 --> 00:14:59,355
Just start working now,
otherwise we won't have time.
300
00:14:59,397 --> 00:15:02,491
We're gonna be out
of oil within a few years.
301
00:15:02,533 --> 00:15:05,934
In doing this sort of pulling
archival footage for this film,
302
00:15:05,970 --> 00:15:09,906
I found at least ten examples
of people in the late '70s
303
00:15:09,941 --> 00:15:11,841
talking about,
this is the end of oil.
304
00:15:11,876 --> 00:15:14,242
This is, like,
end of a way of life,
305
00:15:14,278 --> 00:15:15,506
we are hitting a new era.
306
00:15:15,546 --> 00:15:17,537
This situation is destined
to continue.
307
00:15:17,582 --> 00:15:19,140
People look at that footage,
308
00:15:19,183 --> 00:15:22,516
and I think they can feel
that it's somewhat alarmist,
309
00:15:22,553 --> 00:15:24,350
given that we were able
to continue
310
00:15:24,388 --> 00:15:28,222
our way of life
for another 30, 35 years.
311
00:15:28,259 --> 00:15:31,990
Do you see any parallels
between that time and now?
312
00:15:37,301 --> 00:15:41,601
The '70s was really
a critical decade.
313
00:15:41,639 --> 00:15:44,506
In the '70s,
Marion King Hubbard,
314
00:15:44,542 --> 00:15:47,443
the original prophet
of peak oil,
315
00:15:47,478 --> 00:15:50,276
in late 1949 he did the math
316
00:15:50,314 --> 00:15:54,580
and said U.S. domestic oil
production will peak in 1970.
317
00:15:54,619 --> 00:15:58,419
So that's not some feat
of Nostradamus
318
00:15:58,456 --> 00:16:00,481
communicating with some entity.
319
00:16:00,525 --> 00:16:03,187
It's math; it's science;
it's simple.
320
00:16:03,227 --> 00:16:06,856
But in the '70s, M. King Hubbard
testified before Congress.
321
00:16:06,898 --> 00:16:08,729
That was 1974.
322
00:16:08,766 --> 00:16:11,792
In 1976,
President Jimmy Carter said,
323
00:16:11,836 --> 00:16:15,670
"Man, we cannot use as much
energy as we have been using."
324
00:16:15,706 --> 00:16:17,139
To use energy
more efficiently.
325
00:16:17,175 --> 00:16:18,574
That's when solar panels
went up.
326
00:16:18,609 --> 00:16:20,236
That's when he start... he knew.
327
00:16:20,278 --> 00:16:21,973
They have known in Washington.
328
00:16:22,013 --> 00:16:23,310
I have...
329
00:16:23,347 --> 00:16:26,942
I have published on my website,
as have others,
330
00:16:26,984 --> 00:16:30,283
declassified CIA documents
from 1976
331
00:16:30,321 --> 00:16:34,223
showing that CIA was perfectly
aware of peak oil.
332
00:16:34,258 --> 00:16:35,919
In those days, of course,
333
00:16:35,960 --> 00:16:38,861
when the situation appeared
to be normal,
334
00:16:38,896 --> 00:16:40,887
when people had jobs,
they had vacations,
335
00:16:40,932 --> 00:16:42,695
they had credit cards,
they had credit lines,
336
00:16:42,733 --> 00:16:44,724
everybody is talking about
growth, growth, growth,
337
00:16:44,769 --> 00:16:46,999
buy, buy, buy,
spend, consume, consume,
338
00:16:47,038 --> 00:16:48,665
and everything seemed
to be working,
339
00:16:48,706 --> 00:16:51,937
yeah, we were called alarmists.
340
00:16:51,976 --> 00:16:54,137
We don't live
in that world anymore.
341
00:16:57,181 --> 00:17:02,744
Americans were on the way
to owning millions of cars.
342
00:17:02,787 --> 00:17:05,415
800 million internal
combustion-powered vehicles
343
00:17:05,456 --> 00:17:07,048
on the planet.
344
00:17:07,091 --> 00:17:09,355
They all run on oil.
345
00:17:09,393 --> 00:17:12,829
It takes uncounted barrels
of oil
346
00:17:12,864 --> 00:17:16,425
to make those cars and engines
in the first place,
347
00:17:16,467 --> 00:17:19,197
and you cannot plug
any new technology
348
00:17:19,237 --> 00:17:22,104
into an internal combustion
powered engine.
349
00:17:22,139 --> 00:17:24,300
With seven gallons of oil
in every tire,
350
00:17:24,342 --> 00:17:25,536
nobody will ever make
351
00:17:25,576 --> 00:17:28,511
800 million new
internal combustion anything
352
00:17:28,546 --> 00:17:30,480
because there ain't gonna be
enough oil.
353
00:17:33,784 --> 00:17:37,618
Ethanol is an absolute...
354
00:17:37,655 --> 00:17:38,815
joke.
355
00:17:41,058 --> 00:17:43,788
First of all, a very brilliant
scientist, David Pimentel,
356
00:17:43,828 --> 00:17:46,092
took the concept of net energy,
357
00:17:46,130 --> 00:17:47,495
how much energy do you invest
358
00:17:47,531 --> 00:17:50,056
versus how much
do you get in return,
359
00:17:50,101 --> 00:17:54,094
and he concluded
about a decade ago, I guess,
360
00:17:54,138 --> 00:17:57,403
that it takes more energy
to make ethanol
361
00:17:57,441 --> 00:18:00,774
than you get from burning it,
which is absolute stupidity.
362
00:18:00,811 --> 00:18:03,609
Because you drive the
oil-powered machines, etcetera,
363
00:18:03,648 --> 00:18:05,411
you irrigate,
you use the fertilizers,
364
00:18:05,449 --> 00:18:08,418
you're burning all that oil
and natural gas to grow it.
365
00:18:08,452 --> 00:18:10,420
Then you make steam which is...
366
00:18:10,454 --> 00:18:12,115
which is more
hydrocarbon energy,
367
00:18:12,156 --> 00:18:13,555
you add more chemicals,
368
00:18:13,591 --> 00:18:16,424
and you come up with ethanol,
which you can put in a car.
369
00:18:16,460 --> 00:18:20,362
Now, the Bush administration
had announced a goal
370
00:18:20,398 --> 00:18:23,993
of having 15% of all fuel
in the United States
371
00:18:24,035 --> 00:18:27,300
made from ethanol, I think,
by the year 2015.
372
00:18:27,338 --> 00:18:28,737
They forgot to tell you that
373
00:18:28,773 --> 00:18:31,867
that would take all the arable
land used to grow corn to do it.
374
00:18:34,578 --> 00:18:36,307
Canadian tar sands is an oil.
375
00:18:36,347 --> 00:18:43,219
it is a very, very thick,
sticky, obnoxious substance
376
00:18:43,254 --> 00:18:45,518
that's mixed in with sand
377
00:18:45,556 --> 00:18:49,925
at levels 200, 300, 400,
500 feet in layers
378
00:18:49,961 --> 00:18:50,950
beneath the soil.
379
00:18:50,995 --> 00:18:52,394
This is in Alberta.
380
00:18:52,430 --> 00:18:57,265
And they literally strip mine
thousands of tons a day.
381
00:18:57,301 --> 00:18:59,599
They put them in these huge,
oil-powered dump trucks
382
00:18:59,637 --> 00:19:03,095
and drive them to a place
where they then wash the sand.
383
00:19:03,140 --> 00:19:07,133
They take millions and billions
of gallons of fresh water,
384
00:19:07,178 --> 00:19:09,043
which we're running
out of everywhere,
385
00:19:09,080 --> 00:19:12,015
and they boil it
by burning natural gas.
386
00:19:12,049 --> 00:19:15,314
There is not
a possibility anywhere
387
00:19:15,353 --> 00:19:17,344
that Canadian tar sand's
production
388
00:19:17,388 --> 00:19:20,824
will exceed maybe 3 million,
3.5 million barrels a day.
389
00:19:23,094 --> 00:19:25,085
The first thing
that the uneducated mind
390
00:19:25,129 --> 00:19:26,619
that's in denial says,
391
00:19:26,664 --> 00:19:27,892
"Well, what about hydrogen?
392
00:19:27,932 --> 00:19:29,194
Can't we make electric cars?"
393
00:19:29,233 --> 00:19:30,723
Then I have to bring them back
to the fact
394
00:19:30,768 --> 00:19:32,736
that there's seven gallons
of oil in every tire,
395
00:19:32,770 --> 00:19:36,262
that there are thousands
of gallons of oil in every car,
396
00:19:36,307 --> 00:19:38,969
in the plastics, the paints,
the resins, everything.
397
00:19:39,010 --> 00:19:40,204
All of that is made by oil.
398
00:19:40,244 --> 00:19:41,871
The oil that's used
to manufacture the car
399
00:19:41,912 --> 00:19:44,608
and ship it around, to heat
the metals, etcetera, etcetera.
400
00:19:44,648 --> 00:19:48,778
There will never be 800 million
electric powered vehicles,
401
00:19:48,819 --> 00:19:52,755
and electricity is not
an energy source.
402
00:19:52,790 --> 00:19:55,816
Electricity is generated
by burning
403
00:19:55,860 --> 00:19:58,829
or using some other kind
of energy.
404
00:20:05,503 --> 00:20:09,735
Today freedom and power
are woven together.
405
00:20:09,774 --> 00:20:13,767
The invisible battalions
of electric power...
406
00:20:16,847 --> 00:20:18,371
It's clear that electricity
407
00:20:18,416 --> 00:20:20,611
is the key
to industrial civilization
408
00:20:20,651 --> 00:20:23,552
in that it powers
our refrigeration.
409
00:20:23,587 --> 00:20:26,147
It runs the water pumps
that pump water out
410
00:20:26,190 --> 00:20:28,750
of the New York subway
system every day.
411
00:20:28,793 --> 00:20:31,125
It allows us
to commute electronically,
412
00:20:31,162 --> 00:20:32,925
charge our cell phone batteries,
413
00:20:32,963 --> 00:20:37,593
preserve food,
run operating rooms, etcetera.
414
00:20:40,438 --> 00:20:44,772
The subject
of alternative energies.
415
00:20:47,945 --> 00:20:52,575
There is no such thing
as clean coal,
416
00:20:52,616 --> 00:20:55,107
and there never ever will be.
417
00:20:55,152 --> 00:20:56,779
Why?
418
00:20:56,821 --> 00:20:59,551
Carbon sequestration
is enormously expensive.
419
00:20:59,590 --> 00:21:02,024
What it says essentially is,
you capture the CO2
420
00:21:02,059 --> 00:21:04,721
and any other
greenhouse gases emitted
421
00:21:04,762 --> 00:21:06,525
in the burning of the coal,
422
00:21:06,564 --> 00:21:10,796
you exert enormous amounts
of energy to compress it,
423
00:21:10,835 --> 00:21:14,464
then you move it over
enormously long distances,
424
00:21:14,505 --> 00:21:18,965
and you pump it into some
airtight chamber in the ground
425
00:21:19,009 --> 00:21:21,842
where somebody will figure out
with technology
426
00:21:21,879 --> 00:21:23,676
what to do with
the greenhouse gas in 10,000
427
00:21:23,714 --> 00:21:25,147
or 15,000 thousand years.
428
00:21:26,851 --> 00:21:29,046
Nuclear process
requires something
429
00:21:29,086 --> 00:21:31,247
like 10 to 13 years
of incubation
430
00:21:31,288 --> 00:21:34,746
to get the permitting done,
all the regulations satisfied,
431
00:21:34,792 --> 00:21:37,124
and the construction
of nuclear power plants
432
00:21:37,161 --> 00:21:39,493
is one of the most
energy-intensive processes
433
00:21:39,530 --> 00:21:40,758
in the world.
434
00:21:40,798 --> 00:21:42,732
The steel, the lead containment,
435
00:21:42,766 --> 00:21:46,293
the enrichment of uranium
is a horribly intensive process.
436
00:21:46,337 --> 00:21:48,305
You just don't throw
a rock of uranium in
437
00:21:48,339 --> 00:21:49,863
and start making nuclear energy.
438
00:21:49,907 --> 00:21:50,896
Can't do that.
439
00:21:52,443 --> 00:21:54,434
The first and obvious
problem with tidal energy is,
440
00:21:54,478 --> 00:21:59,177
it has to be generated
or collected near a coastline.
441
00:21:59,216 --> 00:22:01,707
Salt water
is extremely corrosive.
442
00:22:01,752 --> 00:22:06,746
There's an enormous energy cost
in manufacturing the machines.
443
00:22:06,790 --> 00:22:09,258
There are only two
alternative energies
444
00:22:09,293 --> 00:22:12,888
which can really have
an immediate impact,
445
00:22:12,930 --> 00:22:14,921
an immediate benefit.
446
00:22:18,068 --> 00:22:21,060
Now, the problem with plans
like enormous wind farms
447
00:22:21,105 --> 00:22:24,472
in Texas, Oklahoma, Colorado,
448
00:22:24,508 --> 00:22:26,135
the fundamental law
with electricity is,
449
00:22:26,177 --> 00:22:30,443
is that it's drawn off
right where it's used first.
450
00:22:30,481 --> 00:22:33,450
Yes, you can transmit
electricity over long distances,
451
00:22:33,484 --> 00:22:35,315
but people don't think
about the energy
452
00:22:35,352 --> 00:22:36,614
that goes into transformers,
453
00:22:36,654 --> 00:22:38,781
and how much copper
is in power lines,
454
00:22:38,822 --> 00:22:41,655
and all the maintenance
that has to go to that grid.
455
00:22:41,692 --> 00:22:45,253
So when you see really
ridiculous commercials
456
00:22:45,296 --> 00:22:50,427
that say we could have a solar
array 96 miles in the desert,
457
00:22:50,467 --> 00:22:52,128
they don't even think about
the fact
458
00:22:52,169 --> 00:22:54,535
that that electricity is going
to get used in California
459
00:22:54,572 --> 00:22:56,437
before it goes any place else.
460
00:23:00,644 --> 00:23:02,407
Just, you know,
if you saw this movie
461
00:23:02,446 --> 00:23:04,346
and you didn't know
who you were,
462
00:23:04,381 --> 00:23:05,780
and you wanted...
463
00:23:05,816 --> 00:23:07,681
you were just curious
what your credentials are
464
00:23:07,718 --> 00:23:12,451
in terms of understanding
this information.
465
00:23:16,961 --> 00:23:21,159
I have a bachelors degree
in political science
466
00:23:21,198 --> 00:23:26,659
with honors from UCLA, 1973.
467
00:23:26,704 --> 00:23:31,334
Graduate of the Los Angeles
Police Academy, Valedictorian,
468
00:23:31,375 --> 00:23:34,310
class of 1173,
469
00:23:34,345 --> 00:23:39,214
was sent to do DEA Narcotics
Enforcement School by LAPD.
470
00:23:39,250 --> 00:23:42,845
I have 30 years of experience
as an investigative journalist.
471
00:23:42,886 --> 00:23:47,619
I've broken major scandals
that have had national impact.
472
00:23:47,658 --> 00:23:50,684
Of course, I got to know
many members of Congress.
473
00:23:50,728 --> 00:23:53,754
I had been trying to testify
for a long time,
474
00:23:53,797 --> 00:23:56,231
and actually I have
never testified in Congress.
475
00:23:56,267 --> 00:23:57,598
I did, at the request of
476
00:23:57,635 --> 00:23:59,432
the Senate Select Committee
on Intelligence,
477
00:23:59,470 --> 00:24:01,062
submit written testimony,
478
00:24:01,105 --> 00:24:02,834
but after they read
the written testimony
479
00:24:02,873 --> 00:24:03,897
that I was going to submit,
480
00:24:03,941 --> 00:24:05,875
I never got a call to testify.
481
00:24:05,909 --> 00:24:07,376
I have written two books,
482
00:24:07,411 --> 00:24:10,278
one of which is in the
Harvard Business School library.
483
00:24:10,314 --> 00:24:13,909
I've lectured at universities
all over the country
484
00:24:13,951 --> 00:24:15,885
and in many countries.
485
00:24:15,919 --> 00:24:17,386
People wonder, you know,
486
00:24:17,421 --> 00:24:20,822
how this guy with
a bachelors degree from UCLA
487
00:24:20,858 --> 00:24:22,052
came to know all this shit.
488
00:24:22,092 --> 00:24:26,392
Well, this comes from 30 years
of learning
489
00:24:26,430 --> 00:24:29,524
how to scan mainstream media
and read it,
490
00:24:29,566 --> 00:24:33,366
a way of finding stories
from around the world
491
00:24:33,404 --> 00:24:37,135
that tell you all the things
that are really going on
492
00:24:37,174 --> 00:24:40,701
that are not played
on the headlines...
493
00:24:40,744 --> 00:24:42,143
but they're the kind of stories
494
00:24:42,179 --> 00:24:46,878
that people who really make
decisions know how to look for...
495
00:24:46,917 --> 00:24:49,909
and then how to connect them,
496
00:24:49,953 --> 00:24:52,183
how to place the dots
close enough together
497
00:24:52,222 --> 00:24:53,689
so that they can be connected.
498
00:25:11,175 --> 00:25:13,200
The soil is the place from which
499
00:25:13,243 --> 00:25:17,077
all plant matter
gets its nutrients,
500
00:25:17,114 --> 00:25:19,378
and if you keep sucking
the nutrients out,
501
00:25:19,416 --> 00:25:21,441
the soil is useless.
502
00:25:21,485 --> 00:25:25,251
For all of history,
the way the soil was replenished
503
00:25:25,289 --> 00:25:28,725
and the nutrients were returned
in some measure to the soil
504
00:25:28,759 --> 00:25:30,954
was that plant matter
was allowed to decay,
505
00:25:30,994 --> 00:25:34,122
to compost, to restock the soil.
506
00:25:34,164 --> 00:25:36,359
That's why crop rotation
is so important.
507
00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:37,992
You may have one crop
of celery
508
00:25:38,035 --> 00:25:41,493
which will suck certain
chemicals out of the soil.
509
00:25:41,538 --> 00:25:44,632
Another crop,
wheat or something else,
510
00:25:44,675 --> 00:25:47,269
may return those same chemicals
to the soil.
511
00:25:47,311 --> 00:25:49,575
So the soil maintains a balance.
512
00:25:55,452 --> 00:25:58,012
It's kind of sad,
because we as a species
513
00:25:58,055 --> 00:26:00,683
have become so disconnected
from the earth.
514
00:26:00,724 --> 00:26:02,749
We don't have any
real contact with the earth.
515
00:26:02,793 --> 00:26:04,727
We don't have any sense
of its functions,
516
00:26:04,762 --> 00:26:07,230
its feel, its nature,
its seasons, its timing.
517
00:26:09,466 --> 00:26:13,334
First of all, the topsoil
on which food is grown now
518
00:26:13,370 --> 00:26:17,204
is nothing more than a sponge
onto which we pour chemicals
519
00:26:17,241 --> 00:26:19,903
that we get from oil
and natural gas,
520
00:26:19,943 --> 00:26:21,604
and without those chemicals...
521
00:26:21,645 --> 00:26:23,613
the soil has been turned
into a junkie;
522
00:26:23,647 --> 00:26:27,276
the soil is worthless.
523
00:26:27,317 --> 00:26:29,217
So when you plant a crop now,
524
00:26:29,253 --> 00:26:31,881
what happens is you drive
an oil-powered machine.
525
00:26:31,922 --> 00:26:34,049
Drives along, and it plows.
526
00:26:34,091 --> 00:26:36,855
Then you drive another
oil-powered machine,
527
00:26:36,894 --> 00:26:39,590
and it drives along,
and it plants.
528
00:26:39,630 --> 00:26:41,154
And then you irrigate.
529
00:26:41,198 --> 00:26:42,222
Well, how do you irrigate?
530
00:26:42,266 --> 00:26:44,666
Well, that water is pumped
by pumps
531
00:26:44,701 --> 00:26:46,191
that are powered by electricity.
532
00:26:46,236 --> 00:26:47,863
Where's that electricity
come from?
533
00:26:47,905 --> 00:26:51,033
In the United States,
it's either coal or natural gas.
534
00:26:51,074 --> 00:26:52,735
So next thing you do
is come along,
535
00:26:52,776 --> 00:26:54,004
and you fertilize it.
536
00:26:54,044 --> 00:26:57,912
All commercial fertilizers
are made from ammonia,
537
00:26:57,948 --> 00:27:02,749
and the feedstock for ammonia
is natural gas.
538
00:27:02,786 --> 00:27:05,277
So you have ammonium nitrate
fertilizers
539
00:27:05,322 --> 00:27:08,291
that are then sprayed on
by another oil-powered vehicle.
540
00:27:08,325 --> 00:27:11,488
Then the crop dusters come along
that are powered by oil
541
00:27:11,528 --> 00:27:16,227
that spray pesticides that are
all made from petroleum.
542
00:27:16,266 --> 00:27:18,530
Then when it's time to harvest
the food, what do you do?
543
00:27:18,569 --> 00:27:20,127
You drive another
oil-powered machine,
544
00:27:20,170 --> 00:27:21,569
and you harvest it.
545
00:27:21,605 --> 00:27:24,506
You use another oil-powered
machine to drive it to a place
546
00:27:24,541 --> 00:27:26,065
where it's processed.
547
00:27:26,109 --> 00:27:28,100
Then you wrap it up in plastic,
which is oil,
548
00:27:28,145 --> 00:27:30,136
and you put it in
another oil-powered machine,
549
00:27:30,180 --> 00:27:32,205
and you drive it X number
of miles
550
00:27:32,249 --> 00:27:33,910
to a food distribution warehouse
551
00:27:33,951 --> 00:27:36,078
and an oil-powered machine
to your supermarket.
552
00:27:41,091 --> 00:27:43,218
The way food is grown, produced,
553
00:27:43,260 --> 00:27:44,818
and moved around
the world today,
554
00:27:44,862 --> 00:27:46,853
it's an enormous waste
of hydrocarbon energy
555
00:27:46,897 --> 00:27:48,592
which doesn't make sense.
556
00:27:48,632 --> 00:27:50,657
Why do we have strawberries
from Chile?
557
00:27:50,701 --> 00:27:52,464
Why do we have
spinach from China?
558
00:27:52,503 --> 00:27:54,596
Why do we ship anchovies
halfway around the world
559
00:27:54,638 --> 00:27:59,098
to be packaged in tin cans?
560
00:27:59,142 --> 00:28:03,841
There are ten calories
of hydrocarbon energy
561
00:28:03,881 --> 00:28:07,078
in every calorie
of food consumed
562
00:28:07,117 --> 00:28:08,550
in the industrialized world.
563
00:28:17,628 --> 00:28:21,564
Three times in my life
564
00:28:21,598 --> 00:28:27,662
I tried to walk away from,
forget about,
565
00:28:27,704 --> 00:28:29,968
the things
that I had seen
566
00:28:30,007 --> 00:28:33,943
that were so out of whack,
567
00:28:33,977 --> 00:28:37,640
that were so crazy,
that were so wrong.
568
00:28:37,681 --> 00:28:40,582
You know, and that is what
many people urged me to do.
569
00:28:40,617 --> 00:28:43,381
But what inevitably happened
every time
570
00:28:43,420 --> 00:28:48,289
I tried to walk away from this
path that I have walked
571
00:28:48,325 --> 00:28:49,849
was that everything else
in my life
572
00:28:49,893 --> 00:28:51,053
would be taken away from me
573
00:28:51,094 --> 00:28:54,291
so that this path
was the only thing left.
574
00:28:54,331 --> 00:28:56,697
I had no other choice.
575
00:28:56,733 --> 00:29:00,499
And, yeah, anger and resentment
do build up,
576
00:29:00,537 --> 00:29:04,098
especially when you see
and document as much corruption,
577
00:29:04,141 --> 00:29:05,369
as much dishonesty,
578
00:29:05,409 --> 00:29:09,072
as much illegality,
as much murder, as much betrayal
579
00:29:09,112 --> 00:29:14,641
as I have from people
who pretend to be otherwise.
580
00:29:14,685 --> 00:29:15,879
And I reached a point...
581
00:29:15,919 --> 00:29:19,719
it was about 1993
when I first became involved
582
00:29:19,756 --> 00:29:23,522
or learned of the murder
of Marine Colonel Jim Sabow
583
00:29:23,560 --> 00:29:25,551
at El Toro Marine Air Station.
584
00:29:25,596 --> 00:29:28,690
He was the chief of Air Ops,
and he had caught CIA C130s
585
00:29:28,732 --> 00:29:31,530
flying 2,000 and 3,000 kilos
of cocaine on to his base,
586
00:29:31,568 --> 00:29:33,968
and he was suicided.
587
00:29:34,004 --> 00:29:36,029
I crossed my own Rubicon
at that point.
588
00:29:36,073 --> 00:29:40,066
There was no turning
back for me,
589
00:29:40,110 --> 00:29:42,442
and I knew that wherever
this path was gonna go,
590
00:29:42,479 --> 00:29:43,639
I had to follow it.
591
00:29:48,285 --> 00:29:52,221
In the '80s, because I had
some skill as a writer,
592
00:29:52,255 --> 00:29:54,246
I started freelance writing.
593
00:29:54,291 --> 00:29:55,553
I got published a few times.
594
00:29:55,592 --> 00:29:59,221
I realized
that I could be a writer.
595
00:29:59,262 --> 00:30:04,427
I wrote about 109 mysterious
deaths or suicides
596
00:30:04,468 --> 00:30:06,800
in the U.S. military
in a very short period of time,
597
00:30:06,837 --> 00:30:10,739
and I found that most of those
were connected
598
00:30:10,774 --> 00:30:15,143
to covert operations
in one way or another.
599
00:30:15,178 --> 00:30:17,373
The next real evolution
came in 1996
600
00:30:17,414 --> 00:30:20,508
after my confrontation
with CIA Director Deutch,
601
00:30:20,550 --> 00:30:22,882
John Deutch
at Locke High School.
602
00:30:22,919 --> 00:30:26,320
You know, I remember standing up
saying something like,
603
00:30:26,356 --> 00:30:29,348
"I am a former Los Angeles
police narcotics detective.
604
00:30:29,393 --> 00:30:30,917
"I worked South Central
Los Angeles,
605
00:30:30,961 --> 00:30:32,394
"and I can tell you,
Director Deutch,
606
00:30:32,429 --> 00:30:34,056
"emphatically
and without equivocation
607
00:30:34,097 --> 00:30:36,622
"that the agency
has dealt drugs in this country
608
00:30:36,667 --> 00:30:37,656
for a long time,"
609
00:30:37,701 --> 00:30:40,397
and the room exploded.
610
00:30:43,407 --> 00:30:46,103
I had been saying that CIA
was dealing drugs for 18 years.
611
00:30:46,143 --> 00:30:47,667
I mean, I'd been shot at for it.
612
00:30:47,711 --> 00:30:49,201
I'd been forced out of LAPD.
613
00:30:49,246 --> 00:30:50,235
I'd been trashed.
614
00:30:50,280 --> 00:30:51,679
I'd been called crazy.
615
00:30:51,715 --> 00:30:53,706
If, in the course
of the IG's investigations
616
00:30:53,750 --> 00:30:55,217
and Fred Hinson's work,
617
00:30:55,252 --> 00:30:58,710
you come across evidence
of severely criminal activity,
618
00:30:58,755 --> 00:31:03,522
will you tell
the American people the truth?
619
00:31:03,560 --> 00:31:06,961
We will bring the people
to justice
620
00:31:06,997 --> 00:31:08,294
and make them accountable.
621
00:31:08,331 --> 00:31:10,026
Like so often,
when they promise justice,
622
00:31:10,067 --> 00:31:11,056
there isn't any.
623
00:31:11,101 --> 00:31:13,001
It was whittled
and tweetered down.
624
00:31:13,036 --> 00:31:15,800
There were some
very mysterious deaths involved.
625
00:31:15,839 --> 00:31:17,864
Congressmen Julian Dixon,
who was at that meeting,
626
00:31:17,908 --> 00:31:22,277
had a very sudden
heart attack...
627
00:31:22,312 --> 00:31:25,645
which led to the publishing of
the first issue of my newsletter
628
00:31:25,682 --> 00:31:28,082
in May of 1998,
From the Wilderness.
629
00:31:28,118 --> 00:31:31,781
I sat down
and wrote a few pages out,
630
00:31:31,822 --> 00:31:33,153
like, eight pages I think.
631
00:31:33,190 --> 00:31:35,681
I mailed it to 68 names,
632
00:31:35,726 --> 00:31:37,318
and over the next
81/2 years,
633
00:31:37,360 --> 00:31:40,386
From the Wilderness grew
to have
634
00:31:40,430 --> 00:31:45,129
as many as 60 members
of Congress as subscribers,
635
00:31:45,168 --> 00:31:47,363
professors at universities
around the world,
636
00:31:47,404 --> 00:31:50,373
government officials.
637
00:31:50,407 --> 00:31:52,671
One of my first exposés
after CIA and drugs
638
00:31:52,709 --> 00:31:55,075
was that I proved CNN
was absolutely lying
639
00:31:55,112 --> 00:31:58,639
in something called
the Tailwind Scandal of 1998
640
00:31:58,682 --> 00:32:00,479
where CNN had
correctly reported...
641
00:32:00,517 --> 00:32:02,382
their producer April Oliver
had reported
642
00:32:02,419 --> 00:32:05,217
that CIA had used sarin gas
in Laos
643
00:32:05,255 --> 00:32:06,244
during the Vietnam War,
644
00:32:06,289 --> 00:32:07,688
and Henry Kissinger
authorized it.
645
00:32:07,724 --> 00:32:10,852
Four different A-1
pilots who dropped the gas.
646
00:32:10,894 --> 00:32:12,885
In spite of
what the Pentagon said.
647
00:32:12,929 --> 00:32:14,829
CNN, you know, rolled over.
648
00:32:14,865 --> 00:32:16,059
Henry Kissinger called.
649
00:32:16,099 --> 00:32:20,365
Oliver was fired.
650
00:32:20,403 --> 00:32:24,499
Pat Tillman series
that I broke in my newsletter.
651
00:32:24,541 --> 00:32:27,999
All seven parts, that was what
broke the Pat Tillman exposé
652
00:32:28,044 --> 00:32:31,912
that brought down nine officers
or got them disciplined.
653
00:32:31,948 --> 00:32:35,475
The government violated
its most basic responsibility.
654
00:32:35,519 --> 00:32:38,784
But my
economic predictions then,
655
00:32:38,822 --> 00:32:39,811
we had it so right.
656
00:32:39,856 --> 00:32:41,687
The problems are several-fold
657
00:32:41,725 --> 00:32:43,420
behind the economic crash
that is coming
658
00:32:43,460 --> 00:32:47,396
that will be nothing
like we have ever seen before.
659
00:32:47,430 --> 00:32:52,424
In 2006, we said,
"Get out of debt right now.
660
00:32:52,469 --> 00:32:53,959
"Check your mortgage carefully,
661
00:32:54,004 --> 00:32:56,529
"especially if you have
an A.R.M.
662
00:32:56,573 --> 00:32:57,835
"Get into gold.
663
00:32:57,874 --> 00:33:00,536
"Reduce debt
as much as possible.
664
00:33:00,577 --> 00:33:02,772
"Stay away from any kind
of financing
665
00:33:02,813 --> 00:33:04,212
and heavy credit card."
666
00:33:04,247 --> 00:33:06,272
We issued a whole series
of warnings.
667
00:33:06,316 --> 00:33:07,943
How many people have ever heard
of the fact
668
00:33:07,984 --> 00:33:10,350
that they're trading pools
of mortgage-backed securities?
669
00:33:10,387 --> 00:33:13,015
Like mutual funds,
but it's all mortgages.
670
00:33:13,056 --> 00:33:15,752
Those books are as cooked
as the books on Enron.
671
00:33:15,792 --> 00:33:17,419
But it was like 11, 12 days
672
00:33:17,460 --> 00:33:19,325
after we issued
that economic alert
673
00:33:19,362 --> 00:33:21,023
in the middle of running
the Tillman series
674
00:33:21,064 --> 00:33:22,998
that our offices
were burglarized.
675
00:33:23,033 --> 00:33:25,501
All seven computers smashed
676
00:33:25,535 --> 00:33:27,765
and a whole chain of events
took place up there
677
00:33:27,804 --> 00:33:31,433
which was... which actually
worked out okay,
678
00:33:31,474 --> 00:33:35,774
because I needed to evolve,
and I have since then.
679
00:33:41,284 --> 00:33:43,809
There was a period after,
you know, so many years
680
00:33:43,854 --> 00:33:46,914
of deliberate attempts
to sabotage my operations,
681
00:33:46,957 --> 00:33:50,859
four of which we connected in
one way or another to the FBI.
682
00:33:54,364 --> 00:33:57,094
I published that I had retired.
683
00:33:57,133 --> 00:34:00,899
I said officially
that I had retired.
684
00:34:00,937 --> 00:34:04,839
What I had... and at that point,
given the way I felt,
685
00:34:04,875 --> 00:34:11,041
that was
a pretty honest statement.
686
00:34:11,081 --> 00:34:12,776
I didn't know
that I would bounce back
687
00:34:12,816 --> 00:34:15,114
or that there was a third
or a fourth wind
688
00:34:15,151 --> 00:34:16,584
to come inside of me,
689
00:34:16,620 --> 00:34:21,421
but that also is the image
that I wanted out there
690
00:34:21,458 --> 00:34:22,857
just to take the heat off me
691
00:34:22,893 --> 00:34:25,760
at least until Bush and Cheney
got out of the White House,
692
00:34:25,795 --> 00:34:28,559
because that's where
the heat was coming from.
693
00:34:30,634 --> 00:34:31,862
From them personally?
694
00:34:31,902 --> 00:34:33,301
I mean,
from their administration,
695
00:34:33,336 --> 00:34:35,566
or, you know, the people
that ran the CIA,
696
00:34:35,605 --> 00:34:37,095
that ran the FBI?
697
00:34:37,140 --> 00:34:39,335
Who was that pressure
coming from?
698
00:34:39,376 --> 00:34:42,834
I have absolutely no doubt
that Richard Cheney
699
00:34:42,879 --> 00:34:46,679
and Donald Rumsfeld took an
intense personal interest in me
700
00:34:46,716 --> 00:34:48,343
and what my newsletter
had published
701
00:34:48,385 --> 00:34:51,013
for all the years
of the Bush Administration.
702
00:34:51,054 --> 00:34:54,455
That's about as specific
as I care to get.
703
00:35:01,364 --> 00:35:05,528
There was a guy named
von Clausewitz
704
00:35:05,568 --> 00:35:08,128
who said that war
is a continuation of politics
705
00:35:08,171 --> 00:35:10,298
by other means.
706
00:35:10,340 --> 00:35:14,674
Politics is a continuation
of economics by other means.
707
00:35:18,848 --> 00:35:22,511
To understand all of this mess,
you need to understand one term.
708
00:35:22,552 --> 00:35:24,986
It's a big financial term that
is real simple to understand.
709
00:35:25,021 --> 00:35:26,989
It's called a derivative.
710
00:35:27,023 --> 00:35:31,517
A derivative is
any financial instrument
711
00:35:31,561 --> 00:35:34,394
which is derived
from the inherent value
712
00:35:34,431 --> 00:35:37,059
of something else
that is tangible.
713
00:35:37,100 --> 00:35:39,933
In other words,
an ear of corn has value.
714
00:35:39,970 --> 00:35:41,995
A barrel of oil has value.
715
00:35:42,038 --> 00:35:45,007
If you have a house
and a mortgage, that's fine.
716
00:35:45,041 --> 00:35:47,441
When you start doing
mortgage-backed securities,
717
00:35:47,477 --> 00:35:49,911
packaging, and bundling,
that's called a derivative.
718
00:35:54,217 --> 00:35:56,481
As of the start of the collapse,
719
00:35:56,519 --> 00:36:00,182
which let's peg
at September of 2008,
720
00:36:00,223 --> 00:36:04,091
there were derivatives
with a notional value,
721
00:36:04,127 --> 00:36:06,118
meaning that if you added up
all the pieces of paper,
722
00:36:06,162 --> 00:36:09,996
were worth $700 trillion.
723
00:36:10,033 --> 00:36:12,024
In other words,
if they all cashed out at once,
724
00:36:12,068 --> 00:36:14,298
you would need to have
$700 trillion in cash,
725
00:36:14,337 --> 00:36:16,100
and of course,
there isn't that much money.
726
00:36:20,343 --> 00:36:23,801
So with all of these hedges and
derivatives and puts and calls,
727
00:36:23,847 --> 00:36:24,905
those are all derivatives,
728
00:36:24,948 --> 00:36:27,075
and all these other things
they do,
729
00:36:27,117 --> 00:36:29,415
all they cared about was making
the minimum monthly payment
730
00:36:29,452 --> 00:36:30,612
on the credit card bill.
731
00:36:30,653 --> 00:36:33,850
In other words, to service
the $700 trillion
732
00:36:33,890 --> 00:36:36,051
in notional-valued derivatives,
733
00:36:36,092 --> 00:36:38,492
they had to pay a certain amount
of cash every month,
734
00:36:38,528 --> 00:36:40,257
and God forbid they should
all come due.
735
00:36:40,296 --> 00:36:42,355
What's happening
with all of these bailouts,
736
00:36:42,399 --> 00:36:45,095
which are now around
$11 trillion
737
00:36:45,135 --> 00:36:47,968
if you add up
all the U.S. bailouts,
738
00:36:48,004 --> 00:36:51,963
they're chasing a $700 trillion
derivatives bubble
739
00:36:52,008 --> 00:36:54,738
down the drain.
740
00:37:08,925 --> 00:37:13,259
The people who have run
the monetary paradigm,
741
00:37:13,296 --> 00:37:16,356
the economic paradigm,
since money was first invented
742
00:37:16,399 --> 00:37:17,832
have wanted to mystify it
743
00:37:17,867 --> 00:37:19,357
and to make everybody believe
744
00:37:19,402 --> 00:37:22,496
that only some expert could
understand the mumbo jumbo
745
00:37:22,539 --> 00:37:25,099
of the priesthood of money.
746
00:37:25,141 --> 00:37:27,302
Three things only anybody
needs to know
747
00:37:27,343 --> 00:37:29,470
about the way money works
around the world today.
748
00:37:29,512 --> 00:37:31,139
One: fiat currency.
749
00:37:31,181 --> 00:37:32,170
What is money?
750
00:37:34,818 --> 00:37:38,811
If I were to take a bill
out of my wallet,
751
00:37:38,855 --> 00:37:41,915
and I reach in my wallet,
and I pull out this bill,
752
00:37:41,958 --> 00:37:43,391
it's $20.
753
00:37:43,426 --> 00:37:45,018
Wow. Okay.
754
00:37:45,061 --> 00:37:46,585
Can I eat it?
755
00:37:46,629 --> 00:37:47,823
Can I roll it up and chew it?
756
00:37:47,864 --> 00:37:49,627
Do I get calories and vitamins?
757
00:37:49,666 --> 00:37:50,792
No, I don't.
758
00:37:50,834 --> 00:37:52,665
Can I crumple it up,
759
00:37:52,702 --> 00:37:54,101
throw it in my gas tank?
760
00:37:54,137 --> 00:37:55,468
Is the car gonna go anywhere?
761
00:37:55,505 --> 00:37:58,269
No, it's gonna clog
the fuel injectors, maybe.
762
00:37:58,308 --> 00:38:00,242
This is only a symbol.
763
00:38:00,276 --> 00:38:01,937
This doesn't mean anything.
764
00:38:01,978 --> 00:38:02,967
It's fiat.
765
00:38:03,012 --> 00:38:04,274
It's created out of thin air
766
00:38:04,314 --> 00:38:06,305
because somebody turned on
a printing press.
767
00:38:06,349 --> 00:38:09,978
That's all it is.
768
00:38:10,019 --> 00:38:13,887
Before the great growth
of population
769
00:38:13,923 --> 00:38:16,483
which occurred
with the advent of oil
770
00:38:16,526 --> 00:38:19,757
came this revolution in
the monetary system as well.
771
00:38:19,796 --> 00:38:21,491
There was a time
when the pound sterling
772
00:38:21,531 --> 00:38:24,898
actually meant
a pound of sterling silver.
773
00:38:24,934 --> 00:38:26,902
There was only so much silver
out of the ground.
774
00:38:26,936 --> 00:38:27,925
It was tangible.
775
00:38:27,971 --> 00:38:29,233
You couldn't print silver.
776
00:38:29,272 --> 00:38:32,969
It was something real.
777
00:38:33,009 --> 00:38:35,239
You cannot print any more money
778
00:38:35,278 --> 00:38:38,406
than there is energy
to back it up.
779
00:38:38,448 --> 00:38:40,439
That simple.
780
00:38:43,987 --> 00:38:45,386
So we have fiat currency.
781
00:38:45,421 --> 00:38:48,413
Then we have something called
fractional reserve banking.
782
00:38:51,127 --> 00:38:54,961
If you were to bring me
a $10 deposit,
783
00:38:54,998 --> 00:38:58,695
I could make $90 worth of loans
784
00:38:58,735 --> 00:39:01,067
based on just having
that $10 in my drawer,
785
00:39:01,104 --> 00:39:03,334
because it's all calculated
on the premise
786
00:39:03,373 --> 00:39:04,806
that not everybody's
gonna come in
787
00:39:04,841 --> 00:39:06,001
and want their cash all at once.
788
00:39:06,042 --> 00:39:08,067
That's called a run on the bank.
789
00:39:08,111 --> 00:39:10,204
So they have calculated
the odds,
790
00:39:10,246 --> 00:39:13,977
much as Vegas odds makers do,
and said,
791
00:39:14,017 --> 00:39:16,485
"Okay, well, you know,
there are very little odds
792
00:39:16,519 --> 00:39:19,215
under normal conditions."
793
00:39:19,255 --> 00:39:25,990
When I lend now a total of $100
based on that $10 deposit,
794
00:39:26,029 --> 00:39:30,227
that's more money
that I create out of thin air.
795
00:39:30,266 --> 00:39:32,962
Well, gee, that means
that in order to pay off,
796
00:39:33,002 --> 00:39:36,130
whoever gets that money
has to make more money still
797
00:39:36,172 --> 00:39:38,072
to feed in at the bottom
to pay the bank
798
00:39:38,107 --> 00:39:41,133
so that the bank
can create still more money.
799
00:39:44,914 --> 00:39:46,541
You know, I think it's probably
pretty safe
800
00:39:46,583 --> 00:39:48,983
at this point in time with the
collapse of the U.S. economy
801
00:39:49,018 --> 00:39:51,486
to say that pretty much
everybody is understanding
802
00:39:51,521 --> 00:39:53,614
how compound interest works.
803
00:39:53,656 --> 00:39:56,420
The higher the interest rate
on your credit card,
804
00:39:56,459 --> 00:40:00,156
for those people who had 20%,
25% cards,
805
00:40:00,196 --> 00:40:02,562
that means they are creating
that much more money
806
00:40:02,599 --> 00:40:06,467
if they don't pay cash
every month.
807
00:40:06,502 --> 00:40:11,405
What I have just described
is a pyramid scheme.
808
00:40:11,441 --> 00:40:14,604
We live in
an infinite-growth paradigm
809
00:40:14,644 --> 00:40:16,441
which requires growth forever.
810
00:40:16,479 --> 00:40:19,380
It's not that Bernie Madoff
was a pyramid scheme
811
00:40:19,415 --> 00:40:22,441
or Stanford was
a pyramid scheme.
812
00:40:22,485 --> 00:40:24,851
The whole economy
is a pyramid scheme.
813
00:40:24,887 --> 00:40:27,856
The whole global economy
cannot be sustained.
814
00:40:27,890 --> 00:40:30,518
It requires infinite growth.
815
00:40:30,560 --> 00:40:34,553
But infinite growth collides
with finite energy.
816
00:40:34,597 --> 00:40:36,064
First law of thermodynamics,
817
00:40:36,099 --> 00:40:38,499
energy can neither be created
nor destroyed.
818
00:40:38,534 --> 00:40:39,694
The second law:
819
00:40:39,736 --> 00:40:41,897
energy converts
in only one direction:
820
00:40:41,938 --> 00:40:44,133
from usable to unusable.
821
00:40:44,173 --> 00:40:45,538
That's called
the law of entropy.
822
00:40:45,575 --> 00:40:46,701
Things break down.
823
00:40:46,743 --> 00:40:49,211
And in every energy transaction,
824
00:40:49,245 --> 00:40:51,873
some energy is always lost.
825
00:40:51,914 --> 00:40:53,381
So you have finite energy
826
00:40:53,416 --> 00:40:55,384
and you have
a financial paradigm
827
00:40:55,418 --> 00:40:57,045
which demands infinite growth,
828
00:40:57,086 --> 00:40:59,213
and we are at the point
of human history
829
00:40:59,255 --> 00:41:01,985
where the infinite growth
paradigm collides with something
830
00:41:02,025 --> 00:41:04,220
that is more powerful
than money is.
831
00:41:14,837 --> 00:41:20,503
By 2006, I knew that
the collapse was very imminent,
832
00:41:20,543 --> 00:41:22,977
that there would be a major
implosion of the U.S. economy.
833
00:41:23,012 --> 00:41:25,207
I actually missed it
by about a year,
834
00:41:25,248 --> 00:41:26,237
maybe a little bit more.
835
00:41:26,282 --> 00:41:27,715
I thought it was
gonna happen sooner,
836
00:41:27,750 --> 00:41:29,513
but it happened.
837
00:41:29,552 --> 00:41:31,486
And now that it is happening,
838
00:41:31,521 --> 00:41:33,284
these pieces are falling exactly
839
00:41:33,323 --> 00:41:36,383
as if everything else
we had written, said, done...
840
00:41:36,426 --> 00:41:37,552
all the peak oil activists,
841
00:41:37,593 --> 00:41:42,087
all the sustainability
advocates...
842
00:41:42,131 --> 00:41:44,429
our map was proving
deadly accurate.
843
00:41:52,775 --> 00:41:57,712
Things don't break up;
they break down.
844
00:41:57,747 --> 00:42:01,706
When a government collapses,
what happens?
845
00:42:01,751 --> 00:42:03,184
Mail stops getting delivered.
846
00:42:03,219 --> 00:42:05,449
Air traffic controllers
don't get paid,
847
00:42:05,488 --> 00:42:06,853
so they don't go to work,
848
00:42:06,889 --> 00:42:09,221
which means planes don't fly.
849
00:42:09,258 --> 00:42:12,318
Bridges and highway inspections
don't get made.
850
00:42:12,362 --> 00:42:15,991
Food and Drug Administration
inspections don't get made.
851
00:42:16,032 --> 00:42:18,296
Maintenance is going
to be defrayed.
852
00:42:18,334 --> 00:42:21,462
Law enforcement stops working.
853
00:42:21,504 --> 00:42:22,698
I mean, it's no secret now.
854
00:42:22,739 --> 00:42:23,967
You see the headlines every day.
855
00:42:24,006 --> 00:42:27,635
California is bankrupt,
Michigan is bankrupt, Ohio.
856
00:42:27,677 --> 00:42:31,511
They're shutting down services
left and right.
857
00:42:31,547 --> 00:42:33,879
There are tent cities springing
up all over the country.
858
00:42:33,916 --> 00:42:36,146
There are homeless
displaced people.
859
00:42:36,185 --> 00:42:40,588
A great many billionaires,
who we would call the elites,
860
00:42:40,623 --> 00:42:44,252
a great many very, very wealthy
people are getting crashed,
861
00:42:44,293 --> 00:42:46,887
burned, and eaten alive.
862
00:42:46,929 --> 00:42:50,421
What you don't hear is the fact
that, all over the world,
863
00:42:50,466 --> 00:42:54,527
economies are collapsing much
faster than the U.S. economy.
864
00:42:56,906 --> 00:43:00,603
Britain is an absolute
basket case.
865
00:43:00,643 --> 00:43:05,103
There is a curtain of despair
descending
866
00:43:05,148 --> 00:43:09,710
across Eastern Europe.
867
00:43:09,752 --> 00:43:11,617
There's a revolution under way
in Greece.
868
00:43:11,654 --> 00:43:12,951
It's not riots.
869
00:43:12,989 --> 00:43:16,584
It's not civil unrest;
it's a revolution.
870
00:43:16,626 --> 00:43:18,719
Drug violence right across
the border in Mexico,
871
00:43:18,761 --> 00:43:20,092
this is all part
of the collapse.
872
00:43:20,129 --> 00:43:23,963
Pakistan, Afghanistan,
there's lots of violence.
873
00:43:24,000 --> 00:43:26,901
The people who have run
the planet to this point
874
00:43:26,936 --> 00:43:30,633
and who are running the planet
now are losing control.
875
00:43:38,648 --> 00:43:40,616
Have I ever been called
a conspiracy theorist?
876
00:43:40,650 --> 00:43:45,087
Of course I've been called
a conspiracy theorist.
877
00:43:45,121 --> 00:43:46,679
But I don't deal
in conspiracy theory.
878
00:43:46,722 --> 00:43:49,088
I deal in conspiracy fact.
879
00:43:58,167 --> 00:44:00,328
Somebody once said to me
a long time ago,
880
00:44:00,369 --> 00:44:03,338
and this was probably
back in '84,
881
00:44:03,372 --> 00:44:07,502
"Climb down off the cross,
asshole, we need the lumber!"
882
00:44:07,543 --> 00:44:09,238
I am not a Messiah.
883
00:44:09,278 --> 00:44:11,906
I am not responsible
for saving anybody.
884
00:44:11,948 --> 00:44:16,282
The only person I am
responsible for saving is me.
885
00:44:17,720 --> 00:44:20,587
What I see now is the end
of a paradigm
886
00:44:20,623 --> 00:44:23,490
that is as cataclysmic
as the asteroid event
887
00:44:23,526 --> 00:44:26,393
that killed almost all the life
on the Earth
888
00:44:26,429 --> 00:44:28,124
and certainly the dinosaurs.
889
00:44:28,164 --> 00:44:32,066
Now, the dinosaurs were
kings of their paradigm,
890
00:44:32,101 --> 00:44:34,069
and a paradigm is
what you think about something
891
00:44:34,103 --> 00:44:35,536
before you think about it.
892
00:44:35,571 --> 00:44:37,436
Somebody talks about money,
893
00:44:37,473 --> 00:44:40,738
and you automatically accept
without thinking
894
00:44:40,776 --> 00:44:43,836
that compound interest,
factional reserve banking,
895
00:44:43,880 --> 00:44:45,142
and fiat currency is okay,
896
00:44:45,181 --> 00:44:46,239
and we have to protect that,
897
00:44:46,282 --> 00:44:47,715
because if we don't
protect that,
898
00:44:47,750 --> 00:44:51,846
it's gonna be bad for us.
899
00:44:51,888 --> 00:44:54,015
If you know anything
about Darwinism,
900
00:44:54,056 --> 00:44:55,489
basically what it said was
901
00:44:55,525 --> 00:44:58,517
is that those species
that had evolved
902
00:44:58,561 --> 00:45:02,691
or were able to adapt
to changing circumstances
903
00:45:02,732 --> 00:45:04,029
were the ones that survived,
904
00:45:04,066 --> 00:45:05,499
and those that were not equipped
905
00:45:05,535 --> 00:45:08,766
or had been...
become evolutionary dead ends
906
00:45:08,804 --> 00:45:11,466
were destined to die.
907
00:45:11,507 --> 00:45:12,974
"Mike, you better be careful.
908
00:45:13,009 --> 00:45:16,809
It sounds like you're advocating
Social Darwinism."
909
00:45:16,846 --> 00:45:19,371
I'm not advocating
Social Darwinism.
910
00:45:19,415 --> 00:45:22,145
I am witnessing
actual Darwinism.
911
00:45:24,954 --> 00:45:29,050
If you are in a camp
with a bunch of campers
912
00:45:29,091 --> 00:45:31,559
and a bear attacks,
913
00:45:31,594 --> 00:45:34,529
you don't have to be faster
than the bear.
914
00:45:34,564 --> 00:45:37,499
You only have to be faster
than the slowest camper.
915
00:45:42,405 --> 00:45:49,334
There is one and only one
graph image
916
00:45:49,378 --> 00:45:51,812
that I have used
917
00:45:51,847 --> 00:45:57,547
in I would guess 60 to 70
lectures in eight countries,
918
00:45:57,587 --> 00:46:00,055
and that's a graph
of human population,
919
00:46:00,089 --> 00:46:03,650
and if one looks at that graph,
920
00:46:03,693 --> 00:46:06,491
what you see is human population
921
00:46:06,529 --> 00:46:11,523
roughly stable at around
a billion people or so
922
00:46:11,567 --> 00:46:13,728
with maybe a little bit more
at around the time of Christ.
923
00:46:13,769 --> 00:46:17,671
Then it stays pretty stable
until we get to the bubonic...
924
00:46:17,707 --> 00:46:21,143
it starts to rise some as some
primitive technology emerged,
925
00:46:21,177 --> 00:46:22,667
but then you get
to the Bubonic plague.
926
00:46:22,712 --> 00:46:24,304
There's a little dip.
927
00:46:24,347 --> 00:46:25,746
Then after the bubonic plague,
928
00:46:25,781 --> 00:46:29,683
you begin the start of what
we would call the Renaissance
929
00:46:29,719 --> 00:46:33,018
and the early stages
of the Industrial Revolution,
930
00:46:33,055 --> 00:46:35,546
the discovery of steam.
931
00:46:35,591 --> 00:46:38,890
The population starts
to go like this.
932
00:46:38,928 --> 00:46:40,020
The introduction of coal,
933
00:46:40,062 --> 00:46:42,087
the population
starts to go like this.
934
00:46:42,131 --> 00:46:45,931
But around 1900, around the turn
of the 20th century,
935
00:46:45,968 --> 00:46:49,131
what you see as oil
became ubiquitous
936
00:46:49,171 --> 00:46:52,698
was that the population
went like this,
937
00:46:52,742 --> 00:46:55,939
and it goes up
to 6.5 billion people.
938
00:46:55,978 --> 00:46:58,037
We may be at 7 billion people
939
00:46:58,080 --> 00:47:01,880
by the time anyone
sees this interview.
940
00:47:01,917 --> 00:47:06,752
All of those people exist on
this planet only because of oil.
941
00:47:06,789 --> 00:47:08,120
That's it.
942
00:47:08,157 --> 00:47:10,990
So it's axiomatic
that if you take the oil away,
943
00:47:11,027 --> 00:47:13,222
the population
must go away also.
944
00:47:13,262 --> 00:47:16,459
In all of science,
in all of biology,
945
00:47:16,499 --> 00:47:19,263
there is no case
where any population,
946
00:47:19,301 --> 00:47:23,431
be it bacteria in a petri dish
or caribou in an Arctic island,
947
00:47:23,472 --> 00:47:26,270
runs into a set
of favorable circumstances
948
00:47:26,308 --> 00:47:31,245
and goes to that point
without an immediate crash down.
949
00:47:31,280 --> 00:47:32,406
It's a law.
950
00:47:32,448 --> 00:47:33,881
It's a law
as fundamental as gravity.
951
00:47:33,916 --> 00:47:36,441
It's a law as fundamental
as thermodynamics,
952
00:47:36,485 --> 00:47:37,747
and if one thinks about it,
953
00:47:37,787 --> 00:47:40,688
it might also be viewed
as true of the stock market
954
00:47:40,723 --> 00:47:41,747
or the financial markets,
955
00:47:41,791 --> 00:47:42,780
which go like this,
956
00:47:42,825 --> 00:47:43,917
and when they go like this,
957
00:47:43,959 --> 00:47:45,324
they automatically go like this.
958
00:47:45,361 --> 00:47:47,090
That's the history
of every bubble.
959
00:47:58,374 --> 00:48:04,802
I think it's a mistake
to ask, "If people,"
960
00:48:04,847 --> 00:48:11,582
and make all people
the same as one entity,
961
00:48:11,620 --> 00:48:14,054
if they will understand it.
962
00:48:14,090 --> 00:48:19,619
I don't care
if all people understand it.
963
00:48:19,662 --> 00:48:22,153
When you're faced
with an overwhelming,
964
00:48:22,198 --> 00:48:23,688
life-threatening crisis,
965
00:48:23,733 --> 00:48:27,260
as in the Titanic being hit
by an iceberg,
966
00:48:27,303 --> 00:48:29,999
and you happen to be aware
before anybody else is
967
00:48:30,039 --> 00:48:31,165
that the ship is gonna sink
968
00:48:31,207 --> 00:48:33,505
and there aren't
enough lifeboats
969
00:48:33,542 --> 00:48:35,669
and you know
how to build lifeboats
970
00:48:35,711 --> 00:48:37,645
and you tried
to deal with that
971
00:48:37,680 --> 00:48:41,343
in however long the Titanic
had before it went down,
972
00:48:41,383 --> 00:48:45,046
you're likely to run across
three types of passenger
973
00:48:45,087 --> 00:48:46,315
on the Titanic.
974
00:48:46,355 --> 00:48:48,289
You'll run across a type
975
00:48:48,324 --> 00:48:51,020
that's basically
deer in the headlights.
976
00:48:51,060 --> 00:48:52,652
"Ship's been hit?
What does that mean?
977
00:48:52,695 --> 00:48:54,094
"What do I do?
I don't know what to do.
978
00:48:54,130 --> 00:48:55,119
"I don't where to go.
Should I do that?
979
00:48:55,164 --> 00:48:56,153
I don't know."
980
00:48:56,198 --> 00:48:57,187
That's one group.
981
00:48:57,233 --> 00:49:00,498
There's another group that says,
982
00:49:00,536 --> 00:49:02,163
"We get that the ship
is gonna sink.
983
00:49:02,204 --> 00:49:04,365
"We get that we're all gonna die
984
00:49:04,406 --> 00:49:06,271
"unless we make some lifeboats
and do it fast.
985
00:49:06,308 --> 00:49:08,173
Show us what to do."
986
00:49:08,210 --> 00:49:09,802
Then you have a third group
that says,
987
00:49:09,845 --> 00:49:10,869
"This is the Titanic.
988
00:49:10,913 --> 00:49:13,438
"It's absolutely unsinkable.
989
00:49:13,482 --> 00:49:15,814
"Un-fucking-sinkable.
990
00:49:15,851 --> 00:49:17,648
"So we're going back to the bar
for a drink,
991
00:49:17,686 --> 00:49:20,678
and all you doomsday sayers
can actually just take a hike."
992
00:49:20,723 --> 00:49:22,850
Now, if you're the one who knows
how to build lifeboats,
993
00:49:22,892 --> 00:49:25,122
which group of people
are you gonna help?
994
00:49:29,131 --> 00:49:31,759
Certain things
are inevitable right now.
995
00:49:31,801 --> 00:49:35,066
FDIC insolvency,
I will tell you, is coming.
996
00:49:35,104 --> 00:49:37,800
Insolvency of
the Federal Reserve is coming.
997
00:49:37,840 --> 00:49:40,001
Federal Reserve can go bankrupt.
998
00:49:40,042 --> 00:49:42,203
T-bill defaults.
999
00:49:42,244 --> 00:49:45,236
We're looking
at major bankruptcy,
1000
00:49:45,281 --> 00:49:46,942
starvation, dislocation.
1001
00:49:46,982 --> 00:49:49,849
All these things
are already on the way.
1002
00:49:53,689 --> 00:49:54,986
Everything is
gonna break down
1003
00:49:55,024 --> 00:49:57,618
differently in different places.
1004
00:49:57,660 --> 00:49:59,753
The best that I can do
is give you some ideas
1005
00:49:59,795 --> 00:50:03,959
of some markers
that are gonna come.
1006
00:50:03,999 --> 00:50:07,662
The bumpy plateau has been
described by peak oil activists
1007
00:50:07,703 --> 00:50:09,534
and researchers
for many, many years,
1008
00:50:09,572 --> 00:50:11,870
and it's actually happening.
1009
00:50:11,907 --> 00:50:17,368
Basically you come up
the growth curve of oil prices,
1010
00:50:17,413 --> 00:50:21,406
and the oil prices go up until
you start running out of oil.
1011
00:50:21,450 --> 00:50:24,214
Then what happens is,
you have to destroy demand,
1012
00:50:24,253 --> 00:50:26,084
which is what's happening
with this collapse.
1013
00:50:26,121 --> 00:50:28,817
Demand gets destroyed;
the price of oil drops.
1014
00:50:28,858 --> 00:50:31,418
But as you start a recovery
you start back up again,
1015
00:50:31,460 --> 00:50:34,918
and you collide again
with the finite oil
1016
00:50:34,964 --> 00:50:36,488
and the rising energy prices,
1017
00:50:36,532 --> 00:50:37,931
which shuts
everything down again.
1018
00:50:37,967 --> 00:50:40,800
This is the bumpy plateau.
1019
00:50:40,836 --> 00:50:43,669
I think it's fairly certain
1020
00:50:43,706 --> 00:50:47,972
that the mortal blow to human
industrialized civilization
1021
00:50:48,010 --> 00:50:51,173
will happen
when oil prices spike again
1022
00:50:51,213 --> 00:50:53,613
and nobody can afford
to buy that oil,
1023
00:50:53,649 --> 00:50:56,083
and everything
will just shut down.
1024
00:51:00,022 --> 00:51:03,253
The collapse must happen fast
1025
00:51:03,292 --> 00:51:06,659
in order to leave
infrastructure standing.
1026
00:51:06,695 --> 00:51:09,095
We have all heard the stories
about infrastructure, you know,
1027
00:51:09,131 --> 00:51:12,464
the sewers and the bridges
and the roads and all that.
1028
00:51:12,501 --> 00:51:13,832
Well, the point is,
1029
00:51:13,869 --> 00:51:18,329
is that as economic collapse
continues or accelerates,
1030
00:51:18,374 --> 00:51:23,744
those structures will fall
into more and more disrepair.
1031
00:51:23,779 --> 00:51:25,144
There's not gonna be
any money
1032
00:51:25,180 --> 00:51:26,943
or anything running
to fix those,
1033
00:51:26,982 --> 00:51:31,442
so what you want to have
is the change to a new paradigm,
1034
00:51:31,487 --> 00:51:33,318
getting the old one
out of the way
1035
00:51:33,355 --> 00:51:35,687
while there is still
infrastructure left
1036
00:51:35,724 --> 00:51:38,249
to start building something new.
1037
00:51:41,430 --> 00:51:44,263
We have to survive
the transition phase
1038
00:51:44,300 --> 00:51:45,699
of human civilization,
1039
00:51:45,734 --> 00:51:49,966
which I anticipate could last
anywhere between 20 years...
1040
00:51:50,005 --> 00:51:54,942
and oh, my God,
would that be fast and hard...
1041
00:51:54,977 --> 00:51:56,808
you know, to 50 years
or 100 years
1042
00:51:56,845 --> 00:52:01,544
before some kind of stable
civilization starts to emerge.
1043
00:52:01,583 --> 00:52:03,448
You need to survive
the transition phase.
1044
00:52:03,485 --> 00:52:04,782
So don't panic.
1045
00:52:04,820 --> 00:52:06,549
Don't freak out.
1046
00:52:06,588 --> 00:52:08,419
Use your heads.
1047
00:52:08,457 --> 00:52:12,120
Analyze your local situation
where you live,
1048
00:52:12,161 --> 00:52:14,129
don't worry about
rebuilding sewers.
1049
00:52:14,163 --> 00:52:16,859
You're gonna be able
to get water for a few years.
1050
00:52:18,934 --> 00:52:22,233
People say there's either oil
or no oil.
1051
00:52:22,271 --> 00:52:24,762
There's either food or no food.
1052
00:52:24,807 --> 00:52:26,297
And people say,
1053
00:52:26,342 --> 00:52:28,708
"Well, we're gonna have food
in the supermarkets on Tuesday,
1054
00:52:28,744 --> 00:52:30,143
and we're never gonna
see it again."
1055
00:52:30,179 --> 00:52:31,612
That's not the way
it's gonna happen.
1056
00:52:31,647 --> 00:52:35,811
As things break down,
we will see specific shortages
1057
00:52:35,851 --> 00:52:38,911
in specific areas
for periods of days
1058
00:52:38,954 --> 00:52:42,515
before it gets to the point
where there's nothing left.
1059
00:52:42,558 --> 00:52:45,152
So what you need to prepare for
is not the end result,
1060
00:52:45,194 --> 00:52:47,560
but you need to prepare
to survive the transition.
1061
00:52:50,499 --> 00:52:52,490
When people say, "Okay,
I'm gonna run for the hills.
1062
00:52:52,534 --> 00:52:53,728
"I'm gonna go build a cabin.
1063
00:52:53,769 --> 00:52:56,067
I'm gonna buy ten million cans
of baked beans."
1064
00:52:56,105 --> 00:52:58,005
Well, they're probably gonna be
the first to die.
1065
00:52:58,040 --> 00:52:59,974
Number one, it's too late.
1066
00:53:00,009 --> 00:53:01,567
If you don't know
how to live off the land,
1067
00:53:01,610 --> 00:53:03,874
and if you're not already
on the land right now,
1068
00:53:03,912 --> 00:53:05,106
don't even try to go,
1069
00:53:05,147 --> 00:53:07,411
because you're gonna
fail miserably,
1070
00:53:07,449 --> 00:53:08,939
and you might be shot
by the people
1071
00:53:08,984 --> 00:53:10,611
who got there ahead of you.
1072
00:53:15,224 --> 00:53:16,521
You know, the one factor
1073
00:53:16,558 --> 00:53:18,116
that you're not including
in some of this
1074
00:53:18,160 --> 00:53:21,288
is just sort of discounting
human ingenuity,
1075
00:53:21,330 --> 00:53:25,960
or our ability
to sort of problem solve.
1076
00:53:26,001 --> 00:53:31,837
Because my father was an Air
Force aviator combat veteran,
1077
00:53:31,874 --> 00:53:35,401
he was very much trained
in a military style
1078
00:53:35,444 --> 00:53:37,036
of decision making and analysis
1079
00:53:37,079 --> 00:53:40,207
where it's motivated
by life-and-death decisions,
1080
00:53:40,249 --> 00:53:42,740
where you are trained
how to think critically
1081
00:53:42,785 --> 00:53:45,276
and respond critically
in response to emergency.
1082
00:53:45,320 --> 00:53:48,118
So I was trained at an early age
1083
00:53:48,157 --> 00:53:50,921
in the skill
of critical thinking,
1084
00:53:50,959 --> 00:53:52,290
and maybe I have a gift
for it too.
1085
00:53:52,327 --> 00:53:53,658
I believe there are some people
1086
00:53:53,695 --> 00:53:55,993
who have a gift
for critical thinking.
1087
00:53:56,031 --> 00:53:57,794
In my own experience
on the streets
1088
00:53:57,833 --> 00:54:00,267
in South Central Los Angeles
as a cop,
1089
00:54:00,302 --> 00:54:01,826
there were quick decisions,
1090
00:54:01,870 --> 00:54:07,672
sometimes decisions
which changed people's lives
1091
00:54:07,709 --> 00:54:09,609
or could end people's lives,
1092
00:54:09,645 --> 00:54:13,240
and it gave me an ability
to respond and think
1093
00:54:13,282 --> 00:54:15,716
to separate the ice cream
from the bullshit.
1094
00:54:15,751 --> 00:54:18,379
Probably one of
the biggest impediments
1095
00:54:18,420 --> 00:54:20,320
I removed
to critical thinking was,
1096
00:54:20,355 --> 00:54:23,654
I stopped taking mainstream
media seriously a long time ago.
1097
00:54:27,529 --> 00:54:30,123
We were talking about
human ingenuity.
1098
00:54:35,871 --> 00:54:39,136
No amount of technology
and no amount of human ingenuity
1099
00:54:39,174 --> 00:54:41,699
can possibly overturn
the laws of physics,
1100
00:54:41,743 --> 00:54:44,735
the laws which govern
this planet.
1101
00:54:44,780 --> 00:54:48,079
Those are intractable,
immutable, real,
1102
00:54:48,117 --> 00:54:49,948
and science has never
been able to do that.
1103
00:54:49,985 --> 00:54:52,681
Man's great arrogance,
I believe,
1104
00:54:52,721 --> 00:54:54,746
and one for which
he is paying a price now
1105
00:54:54,790 --> 00:54:57,258
is to believe that mankind
really could become God
1106
00:54:57,292 --> 00:55:01,854
and even turn over and upset
and revoke somehow
1107
00:55:01,897 --> 00:55:03,296
the laws of the universe.
1108
00:55:06,001 --> 00:55:09,732
I am a great advocate of buying
and owning physical gold,
1109
00:55:09,771 --> 00:55:10,999
not paper gold.
1110
00:55:11,039 --> 00:55:13,064
You buy gold, you own it.
1111
00:55:13,108 --> 00:55:15,906
When hyperinflation occurs
after deflation here,
1112
00:55:15,944 --> 00:55:18,003
and all these trillions
of dollars come back
1113
00:55:18,046 --> 00:55:21,379
and we are wheeling wheelbarrows
of thousand dollar bills
1114
00:55:21,416 --> 00:55:24,351
to buy a loaf of bread,
1115
00:55:24,386 --> 00:55:26,684
the only thing people
will accept for goods
1116
00:55:26,722 --> 00:55:28,656
is gonna be gold.
1117
00:55:28,690 --> 00:55:29,816
Do whatever you can
1118
00:55:29,858 --> 00:55:32,088
to reinsulate your house
if you need to.
1119
00:55:32,127 --> 00:55:34,459
If you have a house,
if you have soil,
1120
00:55:34,496 --> 00:55:36,794
you immediately
get it off petrochemicals
1121
00:55:36,832 --> 00:55:39,062
and start learning
how to restore it.
1122
00:55:39,101 --> 00:55:41,865
What I do in the yard
where I am renting,
1123
00:55:41,904 --> 00:55:43,769
I'm mixing barbeque
and wood ash
1124
00:55:43,805 --> 00:55:45,500
and then I go out
and pee on everything,
1125
00:55:45,541 --> 00:55:47,031
because then you get
the root elements
1126
00:55:47,075 --> 00:55:50,943
of ammonium-nitrate that
starts to bring the soil back.
1127
00:55:50,979 --> 00:55:55,416
If you are dependent upon
a cell phone, get a land line.
1128
00:55:55,450 --> 00:55:57,441
All the
telecommunications companies
1129
00:55:57,486 --> 00:55:59,477
that operate the satellites,
the cell towers,
1130
00:55:59,521 --> 00:56:00,954
the fiber optic cables,
1131
00:56:00,989 --> 00:56:03,651
and all this stuff that makes
your wonderful cell phone work
1132
00:56:03,692 --> 00:56:06,752
are cutting back on maintenance
as the stock market collapses,
1133
00:56:06,795 --> 00:56:10,128
and we're gonna see failures
in cell phone service.
1134
00:56:10,165 --> 00:56:14,625
A land line is a redundancy
that can help you.
1135
00:56:14,670 --> 00:56:19,004
Get books on first aid
and holistic medicine.
1136
00:56:19,041 --> 00:56:21,271
Moderate fresh water supply,
1137
00:56:21,310 --> 00:56:23,676
a reasonable amount
of food storage.
1138
00:56:23,712 --> 00:56:25,373
You can't store enough
to live on.
1139
00:56:25,414 --> 00:56:27,974
What you need to store is seeds.
1140
00:56:28,016 --> 00:56:30,576
Seeds that are not manufactured
by Monsanto,
1141
00:56:30,619 --> 00:56:31,950
that are not Frankenseeds,
1142
00:56:31,987 --> 00:56:34,512
that only work one time
you plant them
1143
00:56:34,556 --> 00:56:36,183
and then you got to go buy more.
1144
00:56:36,225 --> 00:56:39,058
You get good organic
whole seeds,
1145
00:56:39,094 --> 00:56:40,755
and you store them.
1146
00:56:40,796 --> 00:56:44,288
That could be a great
currency in the future.
1147
00:56:52,374 --> 00:56:53,864
Unlike the Great Depression,
1148
00:56:53,909 --> 00:56:55,809
this is a vastly
different scenario.
1149
00:56:55,844 --> 00:56:58,438
We do not have infinite
resources left to be tapped.
1150
00:56:58,480 --> 00:57:02,314
We don't have lots of land,
we are at peak everything,
1151
00:57:02,351 --> 00:57:05,286
all the commodities,
everything else.
1152
00:57:05,320 --> 00:57:10,155
What they had in the 1930s that
my grandparents told me about
1153
00:57:10,192 --> 00:57:12,888
was the ability to grow food
right where they live,
1154
00:57:12,928 --> 00:57:15,260
and local food production
is perhaps
1155
00:57:15,297 --> 00:57:18,130
the most fundamental key
to human survival
1156
00:57:18,166 --> 00:57:21,294
in the collapse
of industrialized civilization.
1157
00:57:29,878 --> 00:57:33,143
We've had examples of what
happens when oil disappears
1158
00:57:33,181 --> 00:57:34,808
and how civilizations respond
1159
00:57:34,850 --> 00:57:36,374
and what works and what doesn't.
1160
00:57:36,418 --> 00:57:39,285
In 1991,
the Soviet Union collapsed,
1161
00:57:39,321 --> 00:57:41,846
and there were two nations
that were absolutely
1162
00:57:41,890 --> 00:57:44,586
and totally dependent upon
Soviet oil for their survival
1163
00:57:44,626 --> 00:57:45,991
because they had none:
1164
00:57:46,028 --> 00:57:48,622
Cuba and North Korea.
1165
00:57:48,664 --> 00:57:52,327
And what they did in response
to that was completely opposite,
1166
00:57:52,367 --> 00:57:54,835
and the proof, as the say,
was in the pudding.
1167
00:57:58,573 --> 00:58:02,942
North Korea was a rigid,
hierarchical, top-down,
1168
00:58:02,978 --> 00:58:06,812
Soviet-style,
bureaucratic regime
1169
00:58:06,848 --> 00:58:08,873
where everything came
from the central government.
1170
00:58:08,917 --> 00:58:12,944
They managed everything,
and North Korea starved.
1171
00:58:12,988 --> 00:58:18,449
I mean, it was... in human terms,
the suffering was amazing.
1172
00:58:18,493 --> 00:58:19,858
All of a sudden,
there's no oil.
1173
00:58:19,895 --> 00:58:20,919
There's no natural gas.
1174
00:58:20,962 --> 00:58:21,951
There's no fertilizer.
1175
00:58:21,997 --> 00:58:22,986
Cars don't run.
1176
00:58:23,031 --> 00:58:24,259
Trains don't run.
1177
00:58:24,299 --> 00:58:26,494
You get to a point where
you can run trains on some days
1178
00:58:26,535 --> 00:58:28,162
or generate electricity
on others,
1179
00:58:28,203 --> 00:58:29,966
but you can't do both
at the same time.
1180
00:58:34,443 --> 00:58:36,570
But the Cuban government
reverted
1181
00:58:36,611 --> 00:58:38,602
to one of the purest forms
of capitalism.
1182
00:58:38,647 --> 00:58:42,413
It said, "Everybody start
restoring the soil
1183
00:58:42,451 --> 00:58:43,440
"and grow food.
1184
00:58:43,485 --> 00:58:45,385
"You will grow food
where you live.
1185
00:58:45,420 --> 00:58:47,513
"If you find any piece
of arable land
1186
00:58:47,556 --> 00:58:49,524
"that is not being used,
you occupy it,
1187
00:58:49,558 --> 00:58:50,616
"and you start farming it,
1188
00:58:50,659 --> 00:58:53,025
and you start growing food
right now."
1189
00:58:53,061 --> 00:58:54,858
The Cuban government
did everything it could
1190
00:58:54,896 --> 00:58:58,024
to liberate local food growing,
1191
00:58:58,066 --> 00:58:59,055
and what happened was,
1192
00:58:59,101 --> 00:59:01,262
is after a very tough period,
1193
00:59:01,303 --> 00:59:05,763
the Cuban people were eating
better than they had ever eaten,
1194
00:59:05,807 --> 00:59:09,004
because they were free of
this whole agri-biz, you know,
1195
00:59:09,044 --> 00:59:10,636
Frankenfood nightmare.
1196
00:59:10,679 --> 00:59:12,169
Everything was organic,
1197
00:59:12,214 --> 00:59:15,377
and you had every square inch
in Havana that had soil,
1198
00:59:15,417 --> 00:59:20,650
on rooftops or in flower boxes,
was growing food,
1199
00:59:20,689 --> 00:59:22,520
and there was a degree
of sustainability.
1200
00:59:22,557 --> 00:59:24,184
Everything became organic,
1201
00:59:24,226 --> 00:59:27,195
and all you had to do
was separate the people
1202
00:59:27,229 --> 00:59:30,221
from the way money worked
and top-down control,
1203
00:59:30,265 --> 00:59:32,199
explain to them,
you grow it where you eat it,
1204
00:59:32,234 --> 00:59:33,223
and you're gonna make it,
1205
00:59:33,268 --> 00:59:34,997
and Cuba survived and thrived.
1206
00:59:39,241 --> 00:59:42,335
And that's the essence
of where everything is going to
1207
00:59:42,377 --> 00:59:44,345
in the new human paradigm.
1208
00:59:44,379 --> 00:59:46,370
Everything will be local.
1209
00:59:52,721 --> 00:59:55,212
Jack London was one
of my favorite writers,
1210
00:59:55,257 --> 00:59:58,317
and he wrote about animals
a lot.
1211
00:59:58,360 --> 00:59:59,918
One thing you know about animals
1212
00:59:59,961 --> 01:00:01,360
is that they all want to go home
1213
01:00:01,396 --> 01:00:03,159
when they know that
they're gonna face death.
1214
01:00:03,198 --> 01:00:05,257
They all want to be
in their tribe
1215
01:00:05,300 --> 01:00:07,928
or their pack or whatever it is.
1216
01:00:07,969 --> 01:00:09,436
They want to be
on familiar ground.
1217
01:00:09,471 --> 01:00:12,770
It's a natural animal instinct.
1218
01:00:12,808 --> 01:00:16,437
In Dubai, the economic crash
has hit so hard
1219
01:00:16,478 --> 01:00:19,641
that Indians who were living
and working in Dubai
1220
01:00:19,681 --> 01:00:21,080
lost their jobs,
1221
01:00:21,116 --> 01:00:23,346
and they just drove
to the Dubai airport
1222
01:00:23,385 --> 01:00:25,080
and abandoned their cars.
1223
01:00:25,120 --> 01:00:27,748
There was a story talking about
all the cars that were abandoned
1224
01:00:27,789 --> 01:00:31,691
as these Indians caught a
one-way ticket home to go home.
1225
01:00:31,726 --> 01:00:33,694
It's happening in Britain too.
1226
01:00:33,728 --> 01:00:36,595
You have lots of Poles
and Eastern Europeans,
1227
01:00:36,631 --> 01:00:38,462
who were the latecomers
into E.U.,
1228
01:00:38,500 --> 01:00:40,525
fleeing Britain to go home.
1229
01:00:40,569 --> 01:00:43,538
Now in some areas, and certainly
in the southern California basin
1230
01:00:43,572 --> 01:00:47,235
with 13, 14 million people
and a four-day food supply,
1231
01:00:47,275 --> 01:00:50,301
it's clear that people are going
to migrate out of this area,
1232
01:00:50,345 --> 01:00:51,778
because it's not sustainable.
1233
01:00:51,813 --> 01:00:54,441
We get most of our water
from Northern California.
1234
01:00:54,483 --> 01:00:57,577
That's a problem.
1235
01:00:57,619 --> 01:01:00,179
We get a lot of our electricity
from Hoover Dam
1236
01:01:00,222 --> 01:01:01,416
out in Las Vegas.
1237
01:01:01,456 --> 01:01:02,889
Hmm.
1238
01:01:02,924 --> 01:01:06,360
Phoenix, for God's sake,
Las Vegas,
1239
01:01:06,394 --> 01:01:08,760
those people have to
worry about where to go,
1240
01:01:08,797 --> 01:01:15,532
and community
is what will save us.
1241
01:01:15,570 --> 01:01:17,435
You are gonna have to do it
in conjunction
1242
01:01:17,472 --> 01:01:19,064
with your neighbors
and your family
1243
01:01:19,107 --> 01:01:21,632
and the people around you.
1244
01:01:21,676 --> 01:01:23,439
You will fail
as a rugged individual.
1245
01:01:23,478 --> 01:01:26,311
You will survive as a member
of a tribe or a family.
1246
01:01:30,218 --> 01:01:31,515
I have emotion about this.
1247
01:01:31,553 --> 01:01:34,454
I'm losing it.
1248
01:01:52,774 --> 01:01:56,301
We have waited...
1249
01:01:56,344 --> 01:02:01,111
have waited for so long
for somebody to listen to us.
1250
01:02:05,720 --> 01:02:08,621
When the mainstream press
and the government says
1251
01:02:08,657 --> 01:02:10,124
nobody could have
predicted this,
1252
01:02:10,158 --> 01:02:14,788
they're lying through
their fucking teeth.
1253
01:02:14,829 --> 01:02:17,798
We all saw exactly
what was gonna happen
1254
01:02:17,832 --> 01:02:19,424
and how it was gonna happen
1255
01:02:19,467 --> 01:02:22,197
and, remarkably,
when it was gonna happen.
1256
01:02:22,237 --> 01:02:23,864
None of us expected the collapse
1257
01:02:23,905 --> 01:02:25,805
to be as severe
as it's proving to be
1258
01:02:25,840 --> 01:02:28,308
or as fast
as it's proving to be.
1259
01:02:28,343 --> 01:02:29,867
But we've been screaming
for years,
1260
01:02:29,911 --> 01:02:31,606
and we've been watching
everything we said
1261
01:02:31,646 --> 01:02:32,635
come to pass,
1262
01:02:32,681 --> 01:02:38,483
and we have felt so angry.
1263
01:02:53,401 --> 01:02:56,461
I haven't lost
emotional connection to it.
1264
01:02:56,504 --> 01:02:59,769
What I have learned to do
over the course of my life
1265
01:02:59,808 --> 01:03:03,938
is to balance the...
1266
01:03:03,979 --> 01:03:08,075
the horror with love,
1267
01:03:08,116 --> 01:03:12,644
with play,
with making people smile.
1268
01:03:12,687 --> 01:03:14,450
I take my dog out for a walk,
1269
01:03:14,489 --> 01:03:18,118
and we count how many smiles
we can inflict
1270
01:03:18,159 --> 01:03:19,251
in the course of one walk.
1271
01:03:19,294 --> 01:03:20,727
I walk through downtown
Culver City,
1272
01:03:20,762 --> 01:03:23,560
and, you know, I usually
come home, you know, and say,
1273
01:03:23,598 --> 01:03:26,726
"That was 23 smiles
we created today."
1274
01:03:26,768 --> 01:03:28,702
And for some reason
at this moment in time,
1275
01:03:28,737 --> 01:03:30,705
that's a very precious
little treat for me.
1276
01:03:36,378 --> 01:03:40,109
There was a psychologist...
psychiatrist,
1277
01:03:40,148 --> 01:03:42,082
Elizabeth Kübler Ross,
1278
01:03:42,117 --> 01:03:45,086
who talked about
the five stages of grief,
1279
01:03:45,120 --> 01:03:46,109
and when you're hit with
1280
01:03:46,154 --> 01:03:49,453
an overwhelming
life-changing situation.
1281
01:03:49,491 --> 01:03:50,924
The first is denial.
1282
01:03:50,959 --> 01:03:52,358
"This can't possibly
be happening.
1283
01:03:52,394 --> 01:03:55,852
It's not true;
no, it's not happening."
1284
01:03:55,897 --> 01:03:58,559
And you stay in denial,
and you fight to stay in denial.
1285
01:03:58,600 --> 01:04:00,830
Then comes anger.
1286
01:04:00,869 --> 01:04:07,035
I really believe that mankind
is now entering just barely...
1287
01:04:07,075 --> 01:04:11,171
it has just barely crossed the
threshold of the anger phase.
1288
01:04:25,126 --> 01:04:26,957
We have to get through
the anger phase.
1289
01:04:26,995 --> 01:04:29,190
And how we get through
that anger phase
1290
01:04:29,230 --> 01:04:31,255
is going to be critical.
1291
01:04:31,299 --> 01:04:34,962
The way we're going
under current government
1292
01:04:35,003 --> 01:04:37,369
and monetary rule,
1293
01:04:37,405 --> 01:04:39,669
the only kind of anger
that's going to be produced
1294
01:04:39,708 --> 01:04:42,006
is the destructive kind,
1295
01:04:42,043 --> 01:04:45,672
borne of absolute frustration
and bitterness
1296
01:04:45,714 --> 01:04:47,682
that nothing
that's being sold to us
1297
01:04:47,716 --> 01:04:48,808
as being a solution
1298
01:04:48,850 --> 01:04:52,479
is making us feel
any goddamn better.
1299
01:04:52,520 --> 01:04:53,919
Then, of course, after that,
1300
01:04:53,955 --> 01:04:55,252
you know,
we have the bargaining.
1301
01:04:55,290 --> 01:04:58,384
Well, the bargaining
is kind of going on now too.
1302
01:04:58,426 --> 01:05:00,326
"Maybe I could've
done something different.
1303
01:05:00,361 --> 01:05:01,988
"Maybe I should have
thought of this.
1304
01:05:02,030 --> 01:05:05,090
Maybe if I do this now,
it won't be different."
1305
01:05:05,133 --> 01:05:06,964
Then you go through
the bargaining,
1306
01:05:07,001 --> 01:05:09,026
and you finally get to a place
of depression,
1307
01:05:09,070 --> 01:05:10,560
where it's really starting
to sink in,
1308
01:05:10,605 --> 01:05:12,197
and these are all
emotional stages
1309
01:05:12,240 --> 01:05:13,264
that one goes through
1310
01:05:13,308 --> 01:05:14,468
whether they're an individual
1311
01:05:14,509 --> 01:05:17,034
or a culture
or a civilization.
1312
01:05:17,078 --> 01:05:19,672
And the final stage
is acceptance,
1313
01:05:19,714 --> 01:05:21,147
and it's really only when people
1314
01:05:21,182 --> 01:05:23,582
have reached
the point of acceptance
1315
01:05:23,618 --> 01:05:25,609
that you can find those people
who are like
1316
01:05:25,653 --> 01:05:27,553
part of the ones
on the Titanic saying,
1317
01:05:27,589 --> 01:05:29,784
"Okay, show us
how to build a lifeboat."
1318
01:05:33,762 --> 01:05:35,992
You know, there's different
ways to look at...
1319
01:05:36,030 --> 01:05:37,759
you can find stories
that support arguments
1320
01:05:37,799 --> 01:05:39,130
that you want to make,
1321
01:05:39,167 --> 01:05:41,032
just because there's
different authors
1322
01:05:41,069 --> 01:05:42,934
that sort of support
your world view,
1323
01:05:42,971 --> 01:05:44,336
and there's other ones
that don't.
1324
01:05:44,372 --> 01:05:47,671
Is it possible to sort
of create a reality
1325
01:05:47,709 --> 01:05:51,076
based on picking news stories
that support your world view?
1326
01:05:58,453 --> 01:06:01,081
I don't do debates anymore,
1327
01:06:01,122 --> 01:06:03,022
and the reason why
I don't do debates anymore
1328
01:06:03,057 --> 01:06:06,254
is because I don't have to.
1329
01:06:06,294 --> 01:06:08,455
At some point, you have
to acknowledge the fact
1330
01:06:08,496 --> 01:06:10,157
that what I've been
writing about
1331
01:06:10,198 --> 01:06:11,392
and what I've been saying
1332
01:06:11,432 --> 01:06:13,866
is actually happening
all around us.
1333
01:06:13,902 --> 01:06:17,531
So why do I need
to debate anything?
1334
01:06:17,572 --> 01:06:19,665
Why does the peak oil movement,
1335
01:06:19,707 --> 01:06:22,107
why does
the sustainability movement,
1336
01:06:22,143 --> 01:06:24,407
need to debate anything?
1337
01:06:24,445 --> 01:06:26,208
Everything that we said
was gonna happen
1338
01:06:26,247 --> 01:06:28,511
is taking place right now.
1339
01:06:36,057 --> 01:06:41,518
Every aspect of human existence
is on the table.
1340
01:06:41,563 --> 01:06:45,124
As far as political parties go,
they're all anachronisms.
1341
01:06:45,166 --> 01:06:50,126
They're all products
of centuries gone by.
1342
01:06:50,171 --> 01:06:53,038
The human race now
is only going to be concerned
1343
01:06:53,074 --> 01:06:54,268
not with an ideology
1344
01:06:54,309 --> 01:06:56,004
but what allows them to survive.
1345
01:06:57,478 --> 01:07:00,538
Capitalism, socialism,
and communism are all terms
1346
01:07:00,582 --> 01:07:02,948
that need to be tossed
in the trash can immediately,
1347
01:07:02,984 --> 01:07:04,918
because all of them were created
1348
01:07:04,953 --> 01:07:08,480
on the assumption
of infinite resources.
1349
01:07:08,523 --> 01:07:12,015
Not one of those ideologies
that are now dead dinosaurs,
1350
01:07:12,060 --> 01:07:13,527
archaic fossils,
1351
01:07:13,561 --> 01:07:15,961
and no longer relevant
to our way of life,
1352
01:07:15,997 --> 01:07:19,057
not one of them recognizes
that there must be a balance
1353
01:07:19,100 --> 01:07:24,333
between growth and the resources
and the planet.
1354
01:07:24,372 --> 01:07:27,364
So forget the idea that you can
have as much as you want,
1355
01:07:27,408 --> 01:07:30,775
because until mankind
surrenders to the fact
1356
01:07:30,812 --> 01:07:32,643
that it lives
on a finite planet
1357
01:07:32,680 --> 01:07:34,910
and it must have balance
with that planet,
1358
01:07:34,949 --> 01:07:37,076
with the planet's resources,
with the animal life,
1359
01:07:37,118 --> 01:07:38,210
and all the other life,
1360
01:07:38,253 --> 01:07:40,653
there can be no happiness
for anything.
1361
01:07:40,688 --> 01:07:42,553
Anything.
1362
01:07:42,590 --> 01:07:45,457
It's all about
getting balance back.
1363
01:07:45,493 --> 01:07:49,953
And who sold me the idea
that it was my destiny to grow?
1364
01:07:49,998 --> 01:07:51,397
Nothing grows forever.
1365
01:07:51,432 --> 01:07:53,195
There's no such thing
as infinite growth.
1366
01:07:53,234 --> 01:07:54,724
It's not possible.
1367
01:07:54,769 --> 01:07:57,169
Look around at everything you
see around you that's living.
1368
01:07:57,205 --> 01:07:58,900
There is a cycle:
1369
01:07:58,940 --> 01:08:02,842
birth, growth, maturation,
decline, and death.
1370
01:08:02,877 --> 01:08:04,936
The challenge being faced
by the human race now
1371
01:08:04,979 --> 01:08:06,139
is either evolve or perish,
1372
01:08:06,180 --> 01:08:07,408
either grow up or die.
1373
01:08:07,448 --> 01:08:08,540
God doesn't care.
1374
01:08:08,583 --> 01:08:10,073
God's not gonna play babysitter
for us.
1375
01:08:10,118 --> 01:08:12,678
The challenge is either
you grow up and mature,
1376
01:08:12,720 --> 01:08:14,278
change your minds
and the way you think,
1377
01:08:14,322 --> 01:08:16,187
or you're gonna perish.
1378
01:08:16,224 --> 01:08:17,919
Everything is on the table now.
1379
01:08:17,959 --> 01:08:19,187
God is on the table.
1380
01:08:19,227 --> 01:08:22,526
Every religion in the world
is on the table now.
1381
01:08:22,563 --> 01:08:24,690
They'll all be measured
as standards by,
1382
01:08:24,732 --> 01:08:27,326
"This is reality, and this is
what the religion says,"
1383
01:08:27,368 --> 01:08:28,528
and every religion in the world
1384
01:08:28,569 --> 01:08:31,094
is gonna be under
a huge microscope.
1385
01:08:31,139 --> 01:08:33,039
This is gonna be
the greatest age of evolution
1386
01:08:33,074 --> 01:08:35,269
in human thinking
that's ever taken place.
1387
01:08:39,080 --> 01:08:40,342
You walk towards your fear.
1388
01:08:40,381 --> 01:08:41,609
You embrace your fear.
1389
01:08:41,649 --> 01:08:44,140
You don't try to hedge it,
1390
01:08:44,185 --> 01:08:46,619
that a part of real living
as a human being,
1391
01:08:46,654 --> 01:08:47,916
as a spiritual being,
1392
01:08:47,956 --> 01:08:51,221
is to embrace and encompass
your fear, your love,
1393
01:08:51,259 --> 01:08:53,659
and not run away from anything,
1394
01:08:53,695 --> 01:08:56,562
because that's
the life experience,
1395
01:08:56,597 --> 01:08:58,326
and it's in that richness
1396
01:08:58,366 --> 01:09:00,596
that I think we find
the most beautiful art,
1397
01:09:00,635 --> 01:09:02,068
the most beautiful music.
1398
01:09:02,103 --> 01:09:05,800
We find the richness of
what the human soul can offer,
1399
01:09:05,840 --> 01:09:11,176
and I see all that richness
buried under such bullshit.
1400
01:09:18,653 --> 01:09:21,019
Can you talk about
your own spirituality?
1401
01:09:21,055 --> 01:09:23,216
You talk about
a lot of different religions.
1402
01:09:23,257 --> 01:09:29,196
How do you define
your own spirituality?
1403
01:09:29,230 --> 01:09:32,859
I quote a Christian,
St. Timothy,
1404
01:09:32,900 --> 01:09:38,361
and I find it to be true
what he said,
1405
01:09:38,406 --> 01:09:43,343
that the love of money
is the root of all evil.
1406
01:09:43,378 --> 01:09:46,779
That's the end result of my
spiritual intellectual quest.
1407
01:09:46,814 --> 01:09:48,042
It is the end.
1408
01:09:48,082 --> 01:09:50,846
It is the fundamental truth
that I have verified
1409
01:09:50,885 --> 01:09:56,152
through three decades of
empirical, investigative, legal,
1410
01:09:56,190 --> 01:09:59,284
academic research,
1411
01:09:59,327 --> 01:10:01,420
trying to answer
some fundamental questions
1412
01:10:01,462 --> 01:10:04,226
about human existence
and why we behave the way we do,
1413
01:10:04,265 --> 01:10:05,459
why we think the way we do,
1414
01:10:05,500 --> 01:10:07,195
why we act the way we do.
1415
01:10:07,235 --> 01:10:09,203
The love of money
is the root of all evil,
1416
01:10:09,237 --> 01:10:10,397
and it is the love of money
1417
01:10:10,438 --> 01:10:13,100
which has the potential
to exterminate,
1418
01:10:13,141 --> 01:10:17,237
to render extinct
the entire human race.
1419
01:10:31,559 --> 01:10:34,153
All right,
so here we have this...
1420
01:10:34,195 --> 01:10:37,187
this likeable,
1421
01:10:37,231 --> 01:10:42,828
sincere guy
in the White House,
1422
01:10:42,870 --> 01:10:47,807
and he is as imprisoned
as we all are.
1423
01:10:47,842 --> 01:10:48,831
I need to cut.
1424
01:10:48,876 --> 01:10:50,537
I need to cut.
I need to cut.
1425
01:10:50,578 --> 01:10:53,843
I'm just having a real powerful
wave of emotion right now,
1426
01:10:53,881 --> 01:10:57,214
because a whole new realization
is opening to me
1427
01:10:57,251 --> 01:10:58,775
about what I'm actually saying,
1428
01:10:58,820 --> 01:11:00,617
and this is some
serious fucking shit,
1429
01:11:00,655 --> 01:11:04,113
so I got to get my head
around it for a second.
1430
01:11:04,158 --> 01:11:06,149
Fuck.
1431
01:11:09,097 --> 01:11:13,431
Okay, I'm ready.
1432
01:11:13,468 --> 01:11:14,799
He is a prisoner of government.
1433
01:11:14,836 --> 01:11:15,894
He's a prisoner of politics.
1434
01:11:15,937 --> 01:11:17,404
He's a prisoner of economics.
1435
01:11:17,438 --> 01:11:19,838
He's a prisoner of the Federal
Reserve Bank of New York.
1436
01:11:19,874 --> 01:11:21,671
He's a prisoner
of the Federal Reserve.
1437
01:11:21,709 --> 01:11:24,940
He's a prisoner
of a governmental system
1438
01:11:24,979 --> 01:11:28,278
that's archaic
and not quickly responsive,
1439
01:11:28,316 --> 01:11:33,811
so we should not make
the success or failure
1440
01:11:33,855 --> 01:11:39,259
of human civilization
rest on his shoulders.
1441
01:11:39,293 --> 01:11:47,632
The only thing in the world that
you and I can possibly change
1442
01:11:47,668 --> 01:11:49,636
to give ourselves
a chance of survival
1443
01:11:49,670 --> 01:11:51,467
and to give our children
a chance
1444
01:11:51,506 --> 01:11:58,309
at some kind of human
civilized life is our minds.
1445
01:11:58,346 --> 01:12:04,012
You have to believe, not wish,
not hope, not pray, not beg.
1446
01:12:04,051 --> 01:12:06,383
You just have to believe
that there's a way out of it,
1447
01:12:06,420 --> 01:12:08,047
and you're gonna find it.
1448
01:12:08,089 --> 01:12:10,649
This is perhaps
the greatest part
1449
01:12:10,691 --> 01:12:12,090
of the American character is,
1450
01:12:12,126 --> 01:12:13,218
when we get pissed off
1451
01:12:13,261 --> 01:12:14,956
and we put our minds
to something
1452
01:12:14,996 --> 01:12:16,896
and we clearly understand
what needs to be done
1453
01:12:16,931 --> 01:12:18,159
and we believe in it,
1454
01:12:18,199 --> 01:12:20,565
we really can change things.
1455
01:12:20,601 --> 01:12:26,267
I plan on living joyfully and
happily for the rest of my life,
1456
01:12:26,307 --> 01:12:28,070
a free man.
1457
01:12:28,109 --> 01:12:30,100
Shit.
1458
01:12:30,144 --> 01:12:32,669
How can you possibly say
there's no hope?
1459
01:12:32,713 --> 01:12:36,012
Just change your mind
and see what we see.
1460
01:12:36,050 --> 01:12:37,779
Stop thinking like dinosaurs.
1461
01:12:41,956 --> 01:12:43,981
So do you feel that the work
that you do,
1462
01:12:44,025 --> 01:12:45,356
you're just gonna do it
1463
01:12:45,393 --> 01:12:47,384
regardless of what the
possible consequences are?
1464
01:12:47,428 --> 01:12:50,727
It just would be so much easier
to have walked away.
1465
01:12:55,069 --> 01:13:04,307
If there was a German
in 1932, 1933,
1466
01:13:04,345 --> 01:13:06,472
who had the foresight
to look ahead
1467
01:13:06,514 --> 01:13:09,039
and to see what
the inevitable end result
1468
01:13:09,083 --> 01:13:11,779
of the Third Reich would be,
1469
01:13:11,819 --> 01:13:14,049
if there was somebody
who had seen that coming,
1470
01:13:14,088 --> 01:13:17,216
do you honestly think that
they could in good conscience
1471
01:13:17,258 --> 01:13:18,850
turn around
and walk away from it
1472
01:13:18,893 --> 01:13:21,623
and pretend it wasn't there?
1473
01:13:21,662 --> 01:13:24,825
When every passing day,
1474
01:13:24,865 --> 01:13:26,526
from the first election
of Adolf Hitler
1475
01:13:26,567 --> 01:13:28,398
as Chancellor in 1933,
1476
01:13:28,436 --> 01:13:32,031
to Kristallnacht,
to the Night of the Long Knives,
1477
01:13:32,073 --> 01:13:35,372
to Anschluss,
the occupation of Austria,
1478
01:13:35,409 --> 01:13:37,843
to Sudetenland, Poland,
1479
01:13:37,878 --> 01:13:40,608
as all of those things happened
that were right on the map,
1480
01:13:40,648 --> 01:13:43,515
how do you think that person
would have felt?
1481
01:13:43,551 --> 01:13:47,681
Do you think that person
could have walked away?
1482
01:13:47,722 --> 01:13:51,385
We are all collectively
as a species responsible
1483
01:13:51,425 --> 01:13:56,328
for what may be the greatest
preventable holocaust
1484
01:13:56,364 --> 01:13:58,832
in the history of planet Earth.
1485
01:13:58,866 --> 01:14:02,427
Our own suicide.
1486
01:14:02,470 --> 01:14:06,099
How do you walk away from that?
1487
01:14:06,140 --> 01:14:08,904
How do you sleep at night?
1488
01:14:08,943 --> 01:14:12,003
Who is anybody?
1489
01:14:14,115 --> 01:14:17,380
Who are you to tell me
1490
01:14:17,418 --> 01:14:21,047
it would have been easier
to walk away?
1491
01:14:21,088 --> 01:14:22,715
You aren't in my skin.
1492
01:14:22,757 --> 01:14:25,248
It was never easier for me
to walk away
1493
01:14:25,293 --> 01:14:28,387
because to walk away
would have meant to compromise.
1494
01:14:28,429 --> 01:14:32,763
To walk away would have meant
selling out.
1495
01:14:37,571 --> 01:14:43,999
You know, I'm still a guy who,
30 years ago,
1496
01:14:44,045 --> 01:14:46,605
approached his government
as a citizen
1497
01:14:46,647 --> 01:14:49,207
asking for redress of grievance.
1498
01:14:49,250 --> 01:14:50,683
I caught the CIA dealing drugs.
1499
01:14:50,718 --> 01:14:51,844
It's wrong.
1500
01:14:51,886 --> 01:14:53,353
Somebody needs
to talk about this,
1501
01:14:53,387 --> 01:14:56,083
and I'm still that same guy.
1502
01:14:56,123 --> 01:14:59,422
I'm still the 27-year-old
about to be promoted,
1503
01:14:59,460 --> 01:15:02,258
perfect record,
perfect rating report,
1504
01:15:02,296 --> 01:15:06,630
LAPD...
dedicated, clean LAPD cop.
1505
01:15:06,667 --> 01:15:08,191
He's still alive in me,
1506
01:15:08,235 --> 01:15:12,262
and he very much wants
some answers.
1507
01:15:33,194 --> 01:15:40,259
There is a legend or a fable
that really speaks to my life
1508
01:15:40,301 --> 01:15:41,632
about the 100th Monkey.
1509
01:15:51,545 --> 01:15:54,173
A long time ago
in the late '40s, early '50s
1510
01:15:54,215 --> 01:15:56,240
when atom bombs and H-bombs
were in vogue
1511
01:15:56,283 --> 01:15:59,446
with above-ground testing,
1512
01:15:59,487 --> 01:16:03,082
we set off an atom bomb
on an atoll in the Pacific,
1513
01:16:03,124 --> 01:16:04,921
and then we waited
a number of years,
1514
01:16:04,959 --> 01:16:07,325
because we wanted
to answer questions like,
1515
01:16:07,361 --> 01:16:09,625
"Gee, how soon after we
nuked something
1516
01:16:09,663 --> 01:16:12,826
would it be possible to get
any kind of life started again?"
1517
01:16:15,403 --> 01:16:16,893
So they went back
to this island,
1518
01:16:16,937 --> 01:16:19,633
and they decided
to repopulate it with monkeys,
1519
01:16:19,673 --> 01:16:22,073
and the monkeys ate coconuts.
1520
01:16:22,109 --> 01:16:24,100
Everything was pretty healthy
1521
01:16:24,145 --> 01:16:26,443
except for the fact that
the husks of the coconuts
1522
01:16:26,480 --> 01:16:31,383
were slightly radioactive.
1523
01:16:31,419 --> 01:16:35,253
So the scientists took
ten monkeys or so
1524
01:16:35,289 --> 01:16:38,122
and taught them
to wash the coconuts
1525
01:16:38,159 --> 01:16:41,686
in a fresh water stream
on the island
1526
01:16:41,729 --> 01:16:44,163
before they cracked them open
1527
01:16:44,198 --> 01:16:48,134
and turned the whole thing loose
to see what would happen.
1528
01:16:48,169 --> 01:16:49,466
Well, you know, pretty soon,
1529
01:16:49,503 --> 01:16:52,370
maybe 12 monkeys out of
a population of 10,000
1530
01:16:52,406 --> 01:16:53,839
were washing their coconuts
1531
01:16:53,874 --> 01:16:57,037
and then 20,
and then 47.
1532
01:16:59,146 --> 01:17:01,979
But a funny thing happened.
1533
01:17:02,016 --> 01:17:03,711
As soon as the 100th monkey
1534
01:17:03,751 --> 01:17:05,378
started washing
his coconut husk,
1535
01:17:05,419 --> 01:17:08,752
all 10,000 started
washing simultaneously.
1536
01:17:11,392 --> 01:17:14,361
I guess one way that I have
always looked at my life,
1537
01:17:14,395 --> 01:17:16,329
especially since
I clearly understood
1538
01:17:16,363 --> 01:17:22,461
what this issue was
in late 2001 is,
1539
01:17:22,503 --> 01:17:24,971
this is my quest
for the 100th monkey.